Online Auctions End Time and its Impact on Sales Success – Analysis of the Odds Ratio on a Selected Central European Market

Łukasz Zakonnik, Piotr Czerwonka, R. Zajdel
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Abstract

Abstract Research background: E-commerce is developing rapidly, especially during the Covid19 pandemic. This fact can benefit individuals who want to sell their already used goods. Importantly, for sellers, it is not always a priority to get the highest price, but sometimes it is simply effective to get rid of the goods at a satisfactory price. Purpose: The aim of this article is to analyze the impact of the broadly understood time of the end of the online auction on the success or failure of a sale. Research methodology: In the study, the raw odds ratio was used for the effect of a single variable. Next, the impact of specific variables within the set of risk factors was determined using the logistic regression. Results: Auctions ending in the evening were found to be more than 150% more likely to be successful, while night hours reduced the chance of success by 50%. The day’s most favorable for sales are Monday and Tuesday, the opposite pattern was observed for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. An interesting relationship was found for the second half of the month, which increased the possibility of selling the goods by over 20%. Novelty: In the literature there are almost none that would focus on the analysis of the possibility of ending the auction with a sale (i.e. success) in the context of the auction end time on the Central European market. This issue is usually discussed on the side and has not been analyzed comprehensively – this paper is a step forward in this direction.
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在线拍卖结束时间及其对销售成功的影响——中欧市场优势比分析
研究背景:电子商务发展迅速,特别是在新冠疫情期间。这一事实可以使那些想要出售二手商品的人受益。重要的是,对于卖方来说,获得最高价格并不总是优先考虑的,但有时以令人满意的价格出售货物是很有效的。目的:本文的目的是分析广泛理解的在线拍卖结束时间对销售成功或失败的影响。研究方法:在研究中,原始优势比用于单一变量的影响。接下来,使用逻辑回归确定风险因素集合内特定变量的影响。结果发现,在晚上结束的拍卖成功几率高出150%,而在晚上结束的拍卖成功几率则降低了50%。星期一和星期二是销售最有利的日子,而星期三、星期四和星期五则相反。在当月的下半月,我们发现了一个有趣的关系,这使商品的销售可能性增加了20%以上。新颖性:在文献中,几乎没有人将重点放在中欧市场拍卖结束时间背景下,以销售(即成功)结束拍卖的可能性的分析上。这个问题通常是侧面讨论的,没有全面的分析,本文是朝着这个方向迈出的一步。
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