Performance of Value Added Tax System in Nepal: A Model-based Descriptive Analysis

Kamal Bahadur Koirala
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Abstract

The implementation of Value Added Tax (VAT) policy in Nepal has completed almost 24 years. The paper intends to assess the VAT performance in terms of revenue collection over the past two decades of its implementation. An econometric modeling and descriptive analysis methods have been applied to analyze secondary time series data extracted from Economic Survey 2021. The revenue growth model is applied to calculate the ratio of change in VAT revenue in the current year over the total VAT revenue of the previous year. The data show that VAT collection has been consistently increasing and the collection gap has been decreasing over the years. The major contributing factors are burgeoning import, soaring private consumption, and newly introduced VAT withholding system.
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尼泊尔增值税制度绩效:基于模型的描述性分析
尼泊尔实施增值税政策已近24年。本文旨在评估增值税在过去二十年的税收征收方面的表现。运用计量经济学建模和描述性分析方法对《经济概览2021》中提取的二次时间序列数据进行了分析。收入增长模型用于计算当年增值税收入变化与上一年增值税总收入的比率。数据显示,多年来增值税征收一直在持续增加,征收差距一直在缩小。主要原因是进口增长、民间消费增长和新实行增值税预提制度。
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