Transformer and long short-term memory networks for long sequence time sequence forecasting problem

Wei Fang
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Abstract

The long sequence time-sequence forecasting problem attracts a lot of organizations. Many prediction application scenes are about long sequence time-sequence forecasting problems. Under such circumstances, many researchers have tried to solve these problems by employing some models that have proved efficient in the Natural Language Processing field, like long short term memory networks and Transformers, etc. And there are a lot of improvements based on the primary recurrent neural network, and Transformer. Recently, a model called informer which is made for the LSTF was proposed. This model claimed that it improves prediction performance on the long sequence time-series forecasting problem. But in the later experiments, more and more researchers found that informers still cannot handle all the long sequence time-sequence forecasting problems. This paper is going to look at how datasets effect the performance of different models. The experiment is carried out on the Bitcoin dataset with four features and one output. The result shows that the Informer (transformer-like model) cannot always perform well so that sometimes choosing models with simple architecture may gain better results.
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变压器和长短期记忆网络的长序列时间序列预测问题
长序列时间序列预测问题引起了许多组织的关注。许多预测应用场景都是关于长序列时序预测问题。在这种情况下,许多研究者试图通过使用一些在自然语言处理领域被证明有效的模型来解决这些问题,如长短期记忆网络和变形金刚等。在原始递归神经网络和Transformer的基础上有很多改进。近年来,针对LSTF提出了一种称为“线人”的模型。该模型提高了长序列时间序列预测问题的预测性能。但在后来的实验中,越来越多的研究者发现,告密者仍然不能处理所有的长序列时间序列预测问题。本文将研究数据集如何影响不同模型的性能。实验是在具有四个特征和一个输出的比特币数据集上进行的。结果表明,Informer(类变压器模型)并不总是表现良好,因此有时选择结构简单的模型可能会获得更好的结果。
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