Evaluation of Emergency Plans Based on Trapezoidal Fuzzy Number and Simplified ELECTRE Method

Tongtong Nie, Xiaolin Sun
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Abstract

As a guiding document for responding to emergencies, the emergency plan directly determines the quality and efficiency of emergency work. Accurately evaluating the pros and cons of the emergency plan can provide valuable decision-making reference for relevant departments. This paper constructs the indicator system of emergency plans' evaluation from five aspects: scientific nature, completeness, flexibility, operability and economy. Using trapezoidal fuzzy numbers, the transformation of linguistic evaluation variables to trapezoidal fuzzy numbers to real values is realized. Finally, based on the simplified ELECTRE method, the advantages and disadvantages of emergency plans are sorted. The instance proves that the model is simple and effective, which providing a feasible method for the selection of emergency plans.
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基于梯形模糊数和简化ELECTRE法的应急预案评价
应急预案作为应急工作的指导性文件,直接决定着应急工作的质量和效率。准确评价应急预案的利弊,可以为相关部门提供有价值的决策参考。本文从科学性、完整性、灵活性、可操作性和经济性五个方面构建了应急预案评价指标体系。利用梯形模糊数,实现了语言评价变量从梯形模糊数到实数的转换。最后,基于简化的ELECTRE方法,对应急预案的优缺点进行了排序。实例表明,该模型简单有效,为应急预案的选择提供了一种可行的方法。
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