An Experimental Study on Internal and External Negotiation for Trade Agreements

Hankyoung Sung
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Abstract

This paper experimentally studies the performance of negotiation considering individual and party, like a country, share of benefit over the best ones. It experiments two-stage bargaining games, internal and external negotiations. From the experimental results, this paper shows strong tendency to select fair allocation in the internal negotiations, but the tendency would be weaker with attractive outside option. In addition, the outside option may claim difference in individual benefit. From the regressions on individual performance in the negotiations, being a proposing party would matter to enhance the performance. However, relative individual performance within party fairness matters. Still attractive no-agreement options happen to break the tendency. As policy implication for trade negotiation, this paper warns that possible loss in individual benefit from not active participation to the external negotiations, no active role of proposer in case that players stick to internal allocations, and deviation of advantageous sector due to attractive outside options.
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贸易协定内部与外部谈判的实验研究
本文通过实验研究了考虑个体和各方(如国家)在最优利益分配情况下的谈判绩效。它实验了内部谈判和外部谈判两阶段的议价博弈。从实验结果来看,在内部谈判中,企业倾向于选择公平分配,而在有吸引力的外部选择时,这种倾向会减弱。此外,外部选择可能要求个体利益差异。从谈判中个人绩效的回归来看,作为提议方对提高绩效很重要。然而,政党公平中的相对个人表现很重要。仍然有吸引力的无协议选项恰好打破了这一趋势。作为贸易谈判的政策暗示,本文提出了以下警告:不积极参与外部谈判可能导致个体利益损失;参与者坚持内部配置可能导致提议者不发挥积极作用;由于外部选择具有吸引力而导致优势部门偏离。
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