Decision support framework for the stock market using deep reinforcement learning

Iure V. Brandão, J. P. J. D. Da Costa, B. Praciano, R. D. de Sousa, F. L. L. de Mendonça
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Abstract

In stock markets, investors adopt different strategies to identify a sequence of profitable investment decisions to maximize their profits. To support the decision of investors, machine learning (ML) software is being applied. In particular, deep learning (DL) approaches are attractive since the stock market parameter presents a highly non-linear behavior, and since DL techniques can track short time and long time variations. In contrast to supervised ML techniques, deep reinforcement learning (DRL) gathers DL’s benefits and adds the real-time adaptation and improvement of the machine learning model. In this paper, we propose a decision support framework for the stock market based on DRL. By learning the trading rules, our framework recognizes patterns, maximizes the profit obtained, and provides recommendations to the investors. The proposed DRL framework outperforms the state-of-the-art framework with 0.86 % of F1 score for buy operations and 0.88 % of F1 score for sale operations in terms of evaluating the positioning strategy.
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基于深度强化学习的股票市场决策支持框架
在股票市场中,投资者采用不同的策略来确定一系列有利可图的投资决策,以实现利润最大化。为了支持投资者的决策,正在应用机器学习(ML)软件。特别是,深度学习(DL)方法很有吸引力,因为股票市场参数呈现出高度非线性的行为,而且DL技术可以跟踪短时间和长时间的变化。与有监督的机器学习技术相比,深度强化学习(DRL)收集了深度学习的优点,并增加了机器学习模型的实时适应和改进。本文提出了一个基于DRL的股票市场决策支持框架。通过学习交易规则,我们的框架识别模式,最大化获得的利润,并为投资者提供建议。在评估定位策略方面,所提出的DRL框架优于最先进的框架,购买操作的F1得分为0.86%,销售操作的F1得分为0.88%。
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