Temperature Forecasting using Tower Networks

Siri S. Eide, M. Riegler, H. Hammer, J. B. Bremnes
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In this paper, we present the tower network, a novel, computationally lightweight deep neural network for multimodal data analytics and video prediction. The tower network is especially useful when it comes to combining different types of input data, a problem not greatly explored within deep learning. The architecture is further applied to a real-world example, where information from historic meteorological observations and numerical weather predictions are combined to produce high-quality forecasts of temperature for 1 to 6 hours into the future. The performance of the proposed model is assessed in terms of root mean squared error (RMSE), and the tower network outperforms even state-of-the-art forecasts from the Norwegian weather forecasting app yr.no from 3 hours into the future. On average, the RMSE of the tower network is approximately 6% smaller than that of yr.no, and approximately 27% smaller than that of the raw numerical weather predictions.
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利用塔式网络进行温度预报
在本文中,我们提出了塔网络,一种新颖的,计算量轻的深度神经网络,用于多模态数据分析和视频预测。当涉及到组合不同类型的输入数据时,塔式网络特别有用,这是深度学习中没有深入研究的问题。该架构进一步应用于现实世界的例子,将历史气象观测和数值天气预报的信息结合起来,生成未来1至6小时的高质量温度预报。所提出的模型的性能是根据均方根误差(RMSE)进行评估的,而塔网络的性能甚至超过了挪威天气预报应用程序yr.no对未来3小时的最新预测。平均而言,塔网的RMSE比yr.no的RMSE小约6%,比原始数值天气预报的RMSE小约27%。
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