Application Data for Electricity Load Forecasting Models

Sooppasek Katruksa, S. Jiriwibhakorn
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This paper used artificial neural networks (ANN) in medium-term energy forecasting for the Metropolitan Electricity Authority (MEA) area of Bangkok, Thailand. This method could improve the electricity load efficiency of the MEA. Moreover, The combined ANN with the GIS in next paper have a key role in the decision-making for investment in new substation and power system planning for maintenance and operation. The input data were clustered by K-means algorithms before training by forecasting the models. In this research, the energy forecasting models were the ANN (2 hiddens & 4 hiddens). The prediction was based on the MEA's electrical energy history (six months; three months) and the gross domestic product (GDP). The results appeared to indicate that the prediction of ANN 4 hiddens (Classified Data Input) is more accurate.
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电力负荷预测模型的应用数据
本文将人工神经网络(ANN)应用于泰国曼谷大都会电力局(MEA)区域的中期能源预测。该方法可以提高MEA的负载效率。此外,本文将人工神经网络与地理信息系统相结合,在新建变电站的投资决策和电力系统的维护和运行规划中发挥关键作用。输入数据通过K-means算法聚类,然后通过预测模型进行训练。在本研究中,能源预测模型采用人工神经网络(2隐和4隐)。该预测是基于MEA的电能历史(6个月;三个月)和国内生产总值(GDP)。结果似乎表明,ANN 4隐式(分类数据输入)的预测更准确。
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