Preferences for International Redistribution: The Divide Over the Eurozone Bailouts

Michael M. Bechtel, Jens Hainmueller, Yotam Margalit
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引用次数: 287

Abstract

Why do voters agree to bear the costs of bailing out other countries? Despite the prominence of public opinion in the ongoing debate over the eurozone bailouts, voters' preferences on the topic are poorly understood. We conduct the first systematic analysis of this issue using observational and experimental survey data from Germany, the country shouldering the largest share of the EU's financial rescue fund. Testing a range of theoretical explanations, we find that individuals' own economic standing has limited explanatory power in accounting for their position on the bailouts. In contrast, social dispositions such as altruism and cosmopolitanism robustly correlate with support for the bailouts. The results indicate that the divide in public opinion over the bailouts is not drawn along distributive lines separating domestic winners and losers. Instead, the bailout debate is better understood as a foreign policy issue that pits economic nationalist sentiments versus greater cosmopolitan affinity and other-regarding concerns.
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国际再分配的偏好:对欧元区救助的分歧
为什么选民同意承担救助其他国家的成本?尽管公众舆论在正在进行的有关欧元区纾困的辩论中占据突出地位,但选民对这一话题的偏好却知之甚少。我们利用来自德国的观察性和实验性调查数据对这一问题进行了首次系统分析,德国承担了欧盟金融救助基金的最大份额。通过对一系列理论解释的检验,我们发现个人自身的经济地位在解释他们对救助的立场方面具有有限的解释力。相比之下,利他主义和世界主义等社会倾向与支持纾困密切相关。调查结果表明,公众对救助计划的意见分歧并没有沿着国内赢家和输家的分配线划分。相反,救市辩论最好被理解为一个外交政策问题,是经济民族主义情绪与更大的世界主义亲和力和其他方面的担忧之间的较量。
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