EAGLE-FLI. A Macroeconomic Model of Banking and Financial Interdependence in the Euro Area

N. Bokan, A. Gerali, S. Gomes, P. Jacquinot, M. Pisani
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引用次数: 77

Abstract

We incorporate financial linkages in EAGLE, a New Keynesian multi-country dynamic general equilibrium model of the euro area (EA) by including financial frictions and country-specific banking sectors. In this new version, termed EAGLE-FLI (Euro Area and Global Economy with Financial Linkages), banks collect deposits from domestic households and cross-country interbank market and raise capital to finance loans issued to domestic households and firms. In order to borrow from local (regional) banks, households use domestic real estate whereas firms use both domestic real estate and physical capital as a collateral. These features – together with the full characterization of trade balance and real exchange rate dynamics and with a rich array of financial shocks – allow to properly assess domestic and cross-country macroeconomic effects of financial shocks. Our results support the views that: (1) the business cycles in the EA can be driven not only by real shocks, but also by financial shocks, (2) the financial sector could amplify the transmission of (real) shocks, and (3) the financial/banking shocks and the banking sectors can be sources of business cycle asymmetries and spillovers across countries in a monetary union.
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EAGLE-FLI。欧元区银行和金融相互依存的宏观经济模型
我们将金融联系纳入EAGLE中,EAGLE是欧元区(EA)的新凯恩斯主义多国动态一般均衡模型,包括金融摩擦和国家特定银行部门。在这个被称为EAGLE-FLI(金融联系的欧元区和全球经济)的新版本中,银行从国内家庭和跨国银行间市场收集存款,并筹集资金为向国内家庭和企业发放贷款提供融资。为了从当地(区域)银行借款,家庭使用国内房地产,而企业使用国内房地产和实物资本作为抵押品。这些特点加上对贸易平衡和实际汇率动态的全面描述以及一系列丰富的金融冲击,使我们能够正确评估金融冲击对国内和跨国宏观经济的影响。我们的研究结果支持以下观点:(1)东亚地区的商业周期不仅可以受到实际冲击的驱动,还可以受到金融冲击的驱动;(2)金融部门可以放大(实际)冲击的传导;(3)金融/银行冲击和银行业可能是货币联盟国家之间商业周期不对称和溢出效应的来源。
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