A Study of Relationship between Investor Sentiment and Stock Price Based on Text Mining

Lemin Yin, Ning Zhang, Lifeng He, Wenmin Fang
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Investor sentiment will have an important influence on the trend of stock prices. There is rich information about stock reviews in the online community and investor sentiment analysis based on text mining has become a hot research topic in the field of Social Science in recent years. This thesis takes stock review in the Sina Finance and Economics Stock Forum as the research object, applying support vector machine (SVM) method to the emotional tendency of stock reviews, and then concluding BSI investor sentiment index based on the results of text mining. Finally, a multiple linear regression model is established, which testify the relationship between investor sentiment and stock price. It is found that investor sentiment index based on text mining can effectively improve the forecast of stock price.
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基于文本挖掘的投资者情绪与股票价格关系研究
投资者情绪会对股票价格的走势产生重要影响。网络社区中存在着丰富的股票评论信息,基于文本挖掘的投资者情绪分析已成为近年来社会科学领域的研究热点。本文以新浪财经股票论坛中的股票评论为研究对象,运用支持向量机(SVM)方法对股票评论的情绪倾向进行分析,然后基于文本挖掘的结果得出BSI投资者情绪指数。最后,建立多元线性回归模型,验证了投资者情绪与股价之间的关系。研究发现,基于文本挖掘的投资者情绪指数可以有效地改善股票价格的预测。
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