A Modeling Approach to Identify Academically Resilient Students: Evidence From PIRLS 2016

Stefan Johansson, Kajsa Yang Hansen, C. Thorsen
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Abstract

In studies of academic resilience, the concept is typically operationalized by pre-defined cutoff values of students’ achievement level and their social background. A threat to the validity of such arbitrary operationalizations is that students around the cutoff values may be misclassified. The main objective of the current study is to apply a modeling approach to identify academically resilient students. Data come from the Progress in International Reading Literacy Study 2016. The primary method used was latent profile analysis. The study demonstrates that it is possible to identify a group of academically resilient students using a set of variables indicating achievement level and protective factors. Even though results suggest that academically resilient students have higher reading achievement compared to other less-advantaged students, it is evident that they have higher interest and confidence in reading than the non-resilient groups. A sensitivity analysis for other countries indicated similar results. Implications stemming from the results are discussed.
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识别学业弹性学生的建模方法:来自PIRLS 2016的证据
在学业弹性的研究中,这一概念通常是通过预先定义的学生成绩水平和社会背景的临界值来实现的。对这种武断操作的有效性的威胁是,在临界值附近的学生可能被错误分类。本研究的主要目的是应用建模方法来识别学业弹性学生。数据来自2016年国际阅读素养研究进展。使用的主要方法是潜在剖面分析。该研究表明,可以使用一组表明成绩水平和保护因素的变量来识别一组学业上有弹性的学生。尽管研究结果表明,与其他条件较差的学生相比,学业弹性强的学生阅读成绩更高,但很明显,他们对阅读的兴趣和信心高于非学业弹性强的学生。对其他国家的敏感性分析也显示出类似的结果。讨论了由此产生的影响。
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