Extended Kumaraswamy Exponential Distribution with Application to COVID-19 Data set

A. Chaudhary, Lal Babu Sah Telee, Vijay Kumar
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Abstract

There are many probability models describing the time related events data. In this study, the exponential distribution is modified by adding one more parameter to get more flexible probability model called Extended Kumaraswamy Exponential (EKwE) distribution using the New Kw-G family (NKwG) of distributions. We have studied some of the statistical characteristics of the model, such as its reliability function, hazard rate function, and quantile function. For testing the applicability of the model, a real data set based on COVID-19 data is taken. The Cramer-von Mises (CVM) approach, Least Square Estimation (LSE), and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) are used to estimate the model’s parameters. Validity of the model is checked by using P-P plot and Q-Q plot. Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Corrected Akaike Information Criterion (CAIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and Hannan-Quinn Information Criterion (HQIC) are also used for model comparison. Goodness of fit of the proposed model is tested using Kolmogrov-Smirnov (KS), Cramer-Von Mises (CVM) and Anderson-Darling (An) test statistics along with respective p-values. All the analysis of the study is performed by using R programming.
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扩展Kumaraswamy指数分布在COVID-19数据集上的应用
有许多描述时间相关事件数据的概率模型。在本研究中,利用新Kw-G族(NKwG)分布,通过增加一个参数来修正指数分布,得到更灵活的概率模型扩展Kumaraswamy指数(EKwE)分布。我们研究了模型的一些统计特征,如可靠性函数、危险率函数和分位数函数。为了验证模型的适用性,以COVID-19数据为基础的真实数据集。使用Cramer-von Mises (CVM)方法、最小二乘估计(LSE)和最大似然估计(MLE)来估计模型的参数。利用P-P图和Q-Q图验证了模型的有效性。还使用赤池信息准则(AIC)、修正赤池信息准则(CAIC)、贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)和汉南-奎恩信息准则(HQIC)进行模型比较。采用Kolmogrov-Smirnov (KS)、Cramer-Von Mises (CVM)和Anderson-Darling (An)检验统计量及其各自的p值对所提出模型的拟合优度进行检验。本研究的所有分析都是使用R编程完成的。
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