Analyzing Factors Affecting the Conversion Rate for Jeonse to Monthly Payment based on the actual price of Apartments: Focusing on Gangnam 3 districts and 3 non-Gangnam districts

Abstract

This study examines the theoretical assumptions and previous studies on the factors affecting the conversion rate for Jeonse to Monthly Payment and conducts an empirical analysis of the determinants of the conversion rate for Jeonse to Monthly Payment. The study covers three regions in Seoul of Gangnam (Seocho-gu, Gangnam-gu, and Songpa-gu) and three regions in Seoul (Gangdong-gu, Yangcheon-gu, and Nowon-gu), which are the most active areas for apartment sales, rental, and leasing transactions. In order to empirically analyze the determinants of the conversion rate for Jeonse to Monthly Payment, this study uses the SVAR model based on theoretical constraints between variables, a methodology developed by Lee (2008). The main influencing factors of the conversion rate for Jeonse to Monthly Payment are the 3-year government bond yield, the conversion rate for Jeonse to Monthly Paymentby region, real estate market consumer sentiment index, and mortgage loan amount. The variables except for the real estate market sentiment index had an impact on the sublease conversion rate. By region, the effect was different, with the conversion rate for Jeonse to Monthly Payment in 3 regions (Gangdong-gu, Yangcheon-gu, and Nowon-gu) responding more strongly than in 3 regions (Gangnam (Seocho-gu, Gangnam-gu, and Songpa-gu).