Prospects for the Development of Russia on the Long-Term Wave of Growth in the New Technological Order

S. Glaziev
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Abstract

Nanotechnologies are the key factor in the formation of a new technological order entering the growth phase. China and India form the core of a new (integral) world economic order, the main goal of which is to increase public welfare. Russia does not develop scientific and technical potential, nor does it master the institutions of the new order. The main reason is the significant underfunding of Research and Advanced Development. At the same time, the export of capital reached a critical value (240 billion), part of the capital (foreign exchange reserves) was arrested. The author emphasizes the positive trend of the decreased influence of the EU and North America in Russian foreign economic activity, a sharp increase in the impact of partners from Southeast Asia (India and China) is noted as well.
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新技术秩序下长期增长浪潮下的俄罗斯发展前景
纳米技术是形成进入生长阶段的新技术秩序的关键因素。中国和印度构成了一个新的(完整的)世界经济秩序的核心,其主要目标是增加公共福利。俄罗斯没有发展科学和技术潜力,也没有掌握新秩序的制度。主要原因是研究和先进发展的资金严重不足。同时,资本输出达到临界值(2400亿),部分资本(外汇储备)被截留。作者强调,欧盟和北美在俄罗斯对外经济活动中的影响力呈下降趋势,同时也注意到东南亚伙伴(印度和中国)的影响力急剧上升。
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