Rate Forecast about Aircraft Grounded due to Maintenance with Modified Neural Network

Zhengwu Wang, Wansuo Liu
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Abstract

It was important for the ground crew to forecast the rate of the aircraft grounded due to maintenance. Using the neural network to forecast the index, it depended on the network structure, the algorithm, the training samples quantity and representation ability. The paper ameliorated the network configuration and arithmetic, It constructed the modified network to forecast the value and used the ameliorated method to enlarge its ability during the forecast process. The results showed the method could solve the generalization capability and the sample problems, the forecast results was meaningful.
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基于改进神经网络的飞机维修停飞率预测
对地勤人员来说,预测由于维修而停飞的飞机比率是很重要的。利用神经网络对指标进行预测,取决于网络结构、算法、训练样本数量和表征能力。本文对网络结构和算法进行了改进,构造了改进的网络进行数值预测,并利用改进的方法扩大了网络在预测过程中的能力。结果表明,该方法能较好地解决泛化能力和样本问题,预测结果有一定的意义。
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