Future of the automotive market in terms of electric cars

Abstract

In 2016, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development published a report in which a modeling was conducted (based, among others, on current emissions, population distribution, economic and demographic trends) that allowed for forecasting the economic consequences of air pollution up to 2060. The project’s authors stated that if countries do not take up more action to improve the quality of air than those introduced the number of early deaths due to air pollution can increase until 2060 and amount to 8-9 million people annually. At the same time, they emphasized that if adequate steps are incorporated in terms of cleaner energy sources, public transport or emission limits, among others, there is a high chance that the air quality improves, which in consequence will substantially lower the health effects and costs. One of the currently introduced solutions is the dissemination of plug-in electric vehicles (PEV), i.e. battery electric vehicles (BEV) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles. This paper presents the current state of the market for such cars, as well as forecasts of its development. Special emphasis was put to the related plans of car manufacturers.