Forecasting Firm Material Events from 8-K Reports

Abstract

In this paper, we show deep learning models can be used to forecast firm material event sequences based on the contents in the company’s 8-K Current Reports. Specifically, we exploit state-of-the-art neural architectures, including sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) architecture and attention mechanisms, in the model. Our 8K-powered deep learning model demonstrates promising performance in forecasting firm future event sequences. The model is poised to benefit various stakeholders, including management and investors, by facilitating risk management and decision making.