ONCE AGAIN ABOUT THE NEGATIVE SYNERGY OF THE DESTRUCTIVE POLICY OF THE RUSSIAN MONETARY AUTHORITIES

S. Kapkanshchikov
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

The article discloses an interconnected set of strategic defects in the regulatory activities of the Bank of Russia in cooperation with the Ministry of Finance, which predetermine the significant contribution of the neoliberal financial and credit policy pursued by them both to the development of an autonomous recession and the aggravation of the coronary crisis in our country. Based on a comparative analysis of the post-default and post-sanction devaluation of the ruble, a conclusion is made about the predominantly negative impact of the latter on the dynamics of Russian GDP and on inflationary processes in the country. The premature transition of the central bank to inflation targeting and, especially, to the free-floating ruble regime, the leading beneficiaries of which are disclosed commodity exporters, financial speculators and the Ministry of Finance, have been critically examined. The continued dominance of the foreign exchange channel in the Bank of Russia’s issuing activities over the credit channel and the inability of the financial authorities to cover the budget deficit through monetary financing are regarded as decisive factors preventing overcoming the coronavirus crisis on the way to a reasonable diversification of the domestic economy. The unjustified transition already in 2021 to a super-tight monetary and fiscal policy, which does not fit into the global practice of anti-crisis regulation, is seen as a kind of renaissance of the false monetarist approach in the activities of leading Russian regulators, their traditional reliance on the quantitative theory of money and the ensuing desire to overcome cost inflation using methods characteristic of combating demand inflation. As the end result of the noted manifestations of the fiasco of the Russian state in the money market, an extremely low coefficient of monetization of the domestic economy is considered, which prevents its breakthrough high-quality growth in the foreseeable future.
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再一次关于俄罗斯货币当局破坏性政策的负面协同作用
本文揭示了俄罗斯央行与财政部合作的监管活动中一系列相互关联的战略缺陷,这些缺陷预先决定了它们所奉行的新自由主义金融和信贷政策对我国自主衰退的发展和冠状动脉危机的恶化的重大贡献。基于对违约后和制裁后卢布贬值的比较分析,得出结论,后者对俄罗斯国内生产总值的动态和该国的通货膨胀过程产生了主要的负面影响。俄罗斯央行过早地转向通货膨胀目定制,特别是转向自由浮动的卢布制度,其主要受益者是公开的大宗商品出口商、金融投机者和财政部,这些都受到了严格的审查。在俄罗斯央行的发行活动中,外汇渠道继续主导信贷渠道,财政当局无法通过货币融资弥补预算赤字,这被认为是阻碍克服新冠病毒危机、实现国内经济合理多元化的决定性因素。2021年已经不合理地过渡到超紧缩的货币和财政政策,这不符合反危机监管的全球实践,被视为俄罗斯主要监管机构活动中虚假货币主义方法的复兴,他们传统上依赖货币的定量理论,并随后希望使用对抗需求通胀的方法来克服成本通胀。作为俄罗斯国家在货币市场惨败的显著表现的最终结果,考虑到国内经济货币化系数极低,这阻碍了其在可预见的未来取得突破性的高质量增长。
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