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STRATEGIC PLANNING PROBLEMS AND CONTRADICTIONS 战略规划问题与矛盾
Pub Date : 2022-12-14 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-6-15-30
Yuriy A. Krupnov, S. Silvestrov, V. Starovoitov
The article is devoted to the formation and implementation of national goals as a stage of the strategizing process. Subject of the study: analysis of current problems in the implementation of national goals for the period up to 2030 and beyond. The possibility of expanding the planning horizon in conditions of high uncertainty is considered. It is shown that improving the effectiveness of national goals should be carried out on the basis of the use of modern forecasting methods, as well as ensuring realistic planning, continuity of goals and structural and logical harmonization of the planning system. Based on the use of factor analysis and ranking methods, an assessment of the degree of influence of problems on the effectiveness of plans to achieve national goals was carried out. The directions of solving the most significant problems are substantiated.
这篇文章专门讨论国家目标的形成和实施,作为战略制定过程的一个阶段。研究主题:分析2030年及以后国家目标实施过程中存在的问题。考虑了在高度不确定性条件下扩大规划视界的可能性。报告指出,提高国家目标的效力应在使用现代预测方法的基础上进行,并应确保现实的规划、目标的连续性以及规划系统的结构和逻辑的协调。在使用因素分析和排名方法的基础上,对问题对实现国家目标的计划有效性的影响程度进行了评估。解决最重要问题的方向得到了证实。
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引用次数: 1
EU’S OPEN STRATEGIC AUTONOMY CONCEPT: CONNECTING THE UNCONNECTABLE 欧盟开放的战略自治理念:连接不连接的
Pub Date : 2022-12-14 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-6-64-77
A. Nevskaya, Y. Kvashnin
The article examines the formation and development of the concept of open strategic autonomy promoted in the EU, scholarly discussions about its prospects as well as practical steps to increase the resilience of a united Europe to new economic and geopolitical challenges. The concept under study, which initially had a predominantly military-political dimension, subsequently acquired new meanings and imperatives related to the implementation of trade, investment, energy, environmental, innovation and other areas of economic policy. The article proves that these EU steps have become both one of the reasons for the current processes of deglobalization, regionalization and fragmentation of the international economic system, and a showcase of contradictions that accompany these processes. Although the European authorities have already adopted a number of important initiatives that fit into the concept under consideration, such as the creation of industrial alliances in strategically important industries, screening of foreign direct investment, the introduction of a cross-border carbon tax, etc., its implementation is fraught with a number of challenges, including a slide towards protectionism and an increase in the cost of subsidizing domestic production capacities. In addition, in the medium term, the achievement of strategic autonomy will be hindered by confrontation with Russia, which objectively leads to an increase in the dependence of EU countries on the United States, including in such a sensitive area as energy imports.
本文考察了欧盟倡导的开放战略自治概念的形成和发展,对其前景的学术讨论,以及提高统一的欧洲应对新经济和地缘政治挑战的弹性的实际步骤。所研究的概念最初主要是军事政治方面的,后来在执行贸易、投资、能源、环境、革新和其他经济政策方面获得了新的含义和必要性。本文证明,欧盟的这些举措既是当前国际经济体系去全球化、区域化和碎片化进程的原因之一,也是伴随这些进程的矛盾的展示。尽管欧洲当局已经采取了一些符合正在考虑的概念的重要举措,例如在具有战略重要性的行业中建立产业联盟,筛选外国直接投资,引入跨境碳税等,但其实施充满了许多挑战,包括向保护主义倾斜和补贴国内生产能力的成本增加。此外,从中期来看,战略自主的实现将受到与俄罗斯对抗的阻碍,客观上导致欧盟国家对美国的依赖程度增加,包括在能源进口等敏感领域。
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引用次数: 0
DIGITAL ECONOMY: DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS AND POSSIBLE RISKS 数字经济:发展前景与可能存在的风险
Pub Date : 2022-12-14 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-6-31-46
I. Kirichenko, T. Marshova, I. N. Migunov
The formation of a digital economy is one of the current trends of our time, opening up new prospects and opportunities for the development of high-tech business, improving public administration, and improving the quality of life of people. However, digitalization contains challenges and threats, in particular to the national interests of the country in the economic sphere. The article analyzes the main risks and threats to economic security associated with digitalization and identifies two groups: risks resulting from digitalization and risks that hinder digitalization. It is noted that the maximum use of the benefits and advantages that digitalization brings, and the neutralization of potential threats require active regulation by the state. The most important document that determines the development of digitalization in the country is analyzed — the national program “Digital Economy of the Russian Federation” from the point of view of taking into account potential threats and risks of the development of digital processes in its constituent federal projects in order to neutralize their possible negative impact on the socio-economic sphere. Based on the assessment of the implementation of the national program, the types of risks that may hinder its effective implementation have been identified. In order to create an effective risk management system that arises in the process of digitalization, it is proposed to form at the federal level a unified standard classifier of the risks of implementing the digital transformation of the economy and, on its basis, a register of identified risks. The organization of systematic work to identify and neutralize risks will contribute to the successful digital transformation of the country.
数字经济的形成是当今时代的趋势之一,为发展高科技商业、改善公共管理、提高人们的生活质量开辟了新的前景和机遇。然而,数字化也带来了挑战和威胁,特别是对国家在经济领域的国家利益。本文分析了与数字化相关的经济安全的主要风险和威胁,并将其分为两类:数字化带来的风险和阻碍数字化的风险。值得注意的是,要最大限度地利用数字化带来的好处和优势,并消除潜在的威胁,需要国家的积极监管。分析了决定该国数字化发展的最重要文件-“俄罗斯联邦数字经济”国家计划,从考虑其组成联邦项目中数字进程发展的潜在威胁和风险的角度出发,以消除其对社会经济领域可能产生的负面影响。根据对国家计划实施情况的评估,确定了可能阻碍其有效实施的风险类型。为了创建数字化过程中产生的有效风险管理系统,建议在联邦一级形成实施经济数字化转型的统一标准风险分类,并在此基础上建立已识别风险的登记册。组织系统的工作来识别和消除风险将有助于该国成功的数字化转型。
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引用次数: 0
RUSSIA — MERCOSUR: IMPERATIVE AND POTENTIAL OF BILATERAL TRADE 俄罗斯-南方共同市场:双边贸易的必要性和潜力
Pub Date : 2022-12-14 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-6-78-92
Sergey А. Chirkin
The article examines the state and prospects of development of Russia’s foreign trade relations with MERCOSUR. In the light of the West’s anti-Russian sanctions, the position of the bloc’s member states on the development of economic relations with our country is characterized. The assessment of the macroeconomic significance of MERCOSUR and the main directions of its trade policy is given. Quantitative indicators on the volumes and dynamics of bilateral foreign trade turnover, the structure of exports and imports of goods are given. Taking into account favorable prerequisites for expanding trade and economic cooperation, using the methodology of the International Trade Center of the UN Conference on Trade and Development, the potential for increasing exports of Russian goods to MERCOSUR countries is calculated. As part of the analysis of the possibilities of diversifying the range of supplies of Russian products based on the Hausmann-Klinger methodology, the most promising Russian goods for entering the MERCOSUR market are identified. In conclusion, there are considerations aimed at intensifying bilateral trade and economic ties against the background of Western sanctions.
文章分析了俄罗斯与南方共同市场对外贸易关系的现状和发展前景。鉴于西方的反俄制裁,欧盟成员国对发展与我国经济关系的立场有其特点。对南方共同市场的宏观经济意义及其贸易政策的主要方向进行了评估。给出了双边外贸总额和动态、货物进出口结构的定量指标。考虑到扩大贸易和经济合作的有利条件,使用联合国贸易和发展会议国际贸易中心的方法,计算了增加俄罗斯商品出口到南方共同市场国家的潜力。作为根据豪斯曼-克林格尔方法对俄罗斯产品供应范围多样化可能性进行分析的一部分,确定了最有希望进入南方共同市场的俄罗斯商品。总之,在西方制裁的背景下,有一些旨在加强双边贸易和经济关系的考虑。
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引用次数: 0
TEACHING POLITICAL ECONOMY: PRACTICES AND THE FUTURE (BASED ON THE REPORT AT THE PLENARY SESSION OF THE VI INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ECONOMY CONGRESS — IPEC-2022) 政治经济学教学:实践与未来(根据第六届国际政治经济学大会全体会议报告——ipec-2022)
Pub Date : 2022-12-14 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-6-4-14
O. Barashkova
The article analyzes the experience of teaching political economy and disciplines developed on the basis of political economy methodology. The factors that determine the demand for political economy on the part of students and the research community are systematized. A brief description of the activities of international associations in the field of political economy and international scientific journals and publications is given. The features and main characteristics of the course “Political Economy” and disciplines developed on the basis of the methodology of political economy taught at Lomonosov Moscow State University for students of economics, as well as for students of non-economic areas and specialties, are considered. Directions for further development of teaching political economy and disciplines based on political economy methodology are outlined.
文章分析了政治经济学教学的经验和在政治经济学方法论基础上发展的学科。决定学生和研究团体对政治经济学需求的因素是系统化的。简要介绍了国际协会在政治经济学和国际科学期刊和出版物领域的活动。审议了“政治经济学”课程的特点和主要特点,以及在罗蒙诺索夫莫斯科国立大学为经济学专业学生以及非经济领域和专业学生讲授的政治经济学方法论基础上发展起来的学科。提出了今后政治经济学教学和以政治经济学方法论为基础的学科发展方向。
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引用次数: 0
CREATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF THE INNOVATION SYSTEM IN THE PRC 中国创新体系的创建与发展
Pub Date : 2022-12-14 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-6-47-63
Lyubov V. Novoselova
The article is devoted to the process of transition of the People’s Republic of China from the position of a country successfully adapting and using modern foreign technologies to the state of a country with a domestic innovation system capable of independently creating its own breakthrough technologies and generating impulses of global development. The author shows a radical change in the position of science in the country over the past decade. The number of people employed in R&D has more than doubled with a 3.5-fold increase in research and development funding. The prestige and demand for researches and engineers have significantly increased in the Chinese society. Solving the above-mentioned tasks has required serious institutional innovations, including the implementation of numerous state R&D programs, the redistribution of functions and responsibilities between various participants in the innovation process (e.g. public research organizations, colleges and universities, state-owned and private companies), strengthening the role of the business sector in financing, development and commercialization of new technologies, the comprehensive development of international scientific and technological cooperation etc. Both direct and indirect sources of R&D financing as well as different forms of implementing investment projects in the field of R&D are considered in detail. Cases of the most successful innovative companies and projects are presented. Special attention is paid to the analysis of China’s success in creating a post-industrial knowledge society, including the country’s rising position in various international rankings reflecting innovative development in whole and its particularities. The problems and difficulties on this path are also characterized with a special accent on improving the quality and efficiency of scientific research, as well as a more effective protection of intellectual property rights in the country.
这篇文章致力于研究中华人民共和国从一个成功地适应和使用现代外国技术的国家,到一个拥有能够自主创造突破性技术并产生全球发展动力的国内创新体系的国家的转变过程。作者展示了在过去的十年里,科学在这个国家的地位发生了根本性的变化。研发人员增加了一倍多,研发经费增加了3.5倍。在中国社会,研究人员和工程师的声望和需求显著增加。解决上述任务需要认真的制度创新,包括实施大量的国家研发计划,重新分配创新过程中各参与者(如公共研究机构、高等院校、国有和私营公司)的职能和责任,加强商业部门在新技术融资、开发和商业化中的作用,全面开展国际科技合作等。详细分析了研发融资的直接来源和间接来源以及研发领域投资项目实施的不同形式。介绍了最成功的创新公司和项目的案例。特别关注中国在创建后工业知识社会方面的成功分析,包括中国在反映整体创新发展及其特殊性的各种国际排名中的上升地位。这条道路上的问题和困难,还特别强调提高科学研究的质量和效率,以及更有效地保护知识产权。
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引用次数: 0
FACTORS OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE DYNAMICS OF ENTERPRISES IN THE RUSSIAN MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY 影响俄罗斯制造业企业动态发展的因素
Pub Date : 2022-12-14 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-6-111-128
A. Zazdravnykh
The article is addressed to a wide range of readers — research economists, as well as teachers and students of the economics of industry markets, is devoted to the study of factors of the development of industry dynamics of companies in the manufacturing sector of the Russian industry. It is stated that the dynamics of enterprises is important for economic growth, it plays a significant role in the long-term industrial transformation and technological development of the manufacturing sector. Using various indicators characterizing the state of consumer demand, entrepreneurial activity, investment process, etc., the assessment of the state of development of industry dynamics in the Russian manufacturing industry is given. It was revealed that the positive dynamics of enterprises in the period 2013–2015 changed to negative in the period 2017–2020. Along with changes in some of the above factors, the influence of a number of negative circumstances of the macroeconomic and geopolitical situation was also noted. It is stated that today the Russian processing industry may find itself in a situation of isolation from the global financial and consumer markets, a shortage of essential production resources. The article substantiates the need for accelerated adoption of programs to effectively support investment projects in key manufacturing industries, as well as the development of state industrial policy measures aimed at unhindered entry of new knowledge and competencies into the manufacturing sector, stimulating the influx of young and innovative companies. The materials of the article are used in the process of teaching the theory of industry markets at the Faculty of Economics of Lomonosov Moscow State University.
本文面向广泛的读者-研究经济学家,以及工业市场经济学的教师和学生,致力于研究俄罗斯工业制造业中公司行业动态发展的因素。企业活力对经济增长具有重要意义,它对制造业的长期产业转型和技术发展起着重要作用。利用表征消费需求、创业活动、投资过程等状况的各种指标,对俄罗斯制造业的产业动态发展状况进行了评估。研究发现,2013-2015年期间企业的积极动态在2017-2020年期间变为消极动态。除了上述一些因素发生变化外,还注意到宏观经济和地缘政治局势的一些不利情况的影响。有人指出,今天俄罗斯加工业可能发现自己处于与全球金融和消费市场隔绝的境地,缺乏必要的生产资源。文章指出,有必要加快实施有效支持重点制造业投资项目的计划,并制定旨在使新知识和新能力不受阻碍地进入制造业的国家产业政策措施,以刺激年轻和创新公司的涌入。本文的材料是在罗蒙诺索夫莫斯科国立大学经济系讲授产业市场理论的过程中使用的。
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引用次数: 0
APPLICATION OF THE ESSENTIAL FACILITIES DOCTRINE IN THE ANALYSIS OF THE BIG DATA OPERATORS BEHAVIOR 基本设施原则在大数据运营者行为分析中的应用
Pub Date : 2022-12-14 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-6-93-110
S. Petrov
Digital transformation of economy leads to changes in industrial markets and firms behavior on them. They begin to compete basing not on expansion of their market share but on creating a benefit for a consumer. Therefore, increase of firm competitiveness requires information about consumer preferences and behavior, which in turn leads to a changes in the role and forms of supply chain participants interaction. In such a situation, big data operators gain a competitive advantage, backed by high fixed costs of extracting value from big data, which provides monopoly power. The question arises about the possibility of considering big data and the behavior of such data operators based on the provisions of the essential facilities doctrine. The research is based on the theory of essential facilities and its application in the construction of an optimization model of big data market subjects behavior. The matter of big data attribution to essential facilities is solved basing on study of approaches to interpretation of big data and essential facilities categories, analysis of interrelation and size of big data processing costs, building a model of big data operator behavior when supplying firms on neighboring markets with processed information. It is shown that big data in processed form can be attributed to essential facilities as their collection and processing are connected to high initial costs which block possibility of their duplication by competitors. However, the peculiarity of it as essential facilities is that they do not completely limit the possibility of entering the market, but determine the competitiveness of firms in it, which causes the growth of the importance of such an entry barrier as the formation of customer loyalty. Such results raise the question of the need and ways to regulate access to big data as essential facilities, since their incorrect regulation or lack of such can lead to a decrease in the markets or supply chains performance and the effectiveness of industrial or antimonopoly regulation.
经济的数字化转型导致了产业市场和企业行为的变化。他们开始竞争的基础不是扩大市场份额,而是为消费者创造利益。因此,企业竞争力的提高需要消费者偏好和行为的信息,这反过来又导致供应链参与者互动的角色和形式的变化。在这种情况下,大数据运营商获得了竞争优势,从大数据中提取价值的高固定成本为其提供了垄断力量。问题是,根据基本设施原则的规定,是否有可能考虑大数据和这些数据运营商的行为。本研究基于基本设施理论及其在大数据市场主体行为优化模型构建中的应用。通过研究大数据和基本设施类别的解释方法,分析大数据处理成本的相互关系和规模,建立大数据运营商在向邻近市场的企业提供处理后的信息时的行为模型,解决了大数据归为基本设施的问题。研究表明,加工形式的大数据可以归因于基本设施,因为它们的收集和处理与高初始成本有关,这阻止了竞争对手复制它们的可能性。然而,它作为基本设施的特殊性在于,它们并没有完全限制进入市场的可能性,而是决定了企业在市场中的竞争力,这使得这种进入壁垒作为客户忠诚度形成的重要性日益增加。这样的结果提出了一个问题,即是否有必要对大数据作为基本设施的使用进行监管,以及如何对其进行监管,因为对大数据的监管不当或缺乏可能导致市场或供应链绩效下降,以及行业或反垄断监管的有效性下降。
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引用次数: 0
STRATEGIC PLANNING OF THE SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT OF RUSSIA AND ITS MACRO-REGIONS: CAPTURED TO OLD ILLUSIONS 俄罗斯及其宏观区域空间发展的战略规划:陷入旧幻想
Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-5-22-40
V. Kryukov, V. Seliverstov
The article considers the genesis and effectiveness of the development of a multilevel system of strategic planning in the Russian Federation at the national, interregional and regional levels. It is shown that at the regional and municipal levels of strategizing the situation in the new millennium was much more positive than at the national and interregional levels. As an example, the Spatial Development Strategy of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2025 is considered, and the text of the expert opinion of the Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences on the draft Strategy for the socio-economic development of the Siberian Federal District (SFD) until 2035 is given. It is concluded that that this document has numerous shortcomings and cannot be accepted even as the basis of the SFD strategy. Taking into account the special importance of the development of Asian Russia as a priority area of national and interregional strategizing in the current geopolitical and economic conditions of global instability and turbulence, directions for its modernization are formulated.
这篇文章讨论了俄罗斯联邦在国家、区域间和区域各级发展多层次战略规划系统的起源和效力。报告显示,在制定战略的区域和城市一级,新千年的情况比在国家和区域间一级积极得多。以《俄罗斯联邦至2025年空间发展战略》为例,给出了俄罗斯科学院西伯利亚分院经济与工业工程研究所关于《至2035年西伯利亚联邦区社会经济发展战略草案》的专家意见文本。结论是,该文件有许多缺点,即使作为SFD战略的基础也不能被接受。考虑到在当前全球不稳定和动荡的地缘政治和经济条件下,亚洲俄罗斯的发展作为国家和区域间战略的优先领域的特殊重要性,制定了其现代化的方向。
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引用次数: 2
EFFICIENT FUNCTIONING OF DIGITAL INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGICAL PLATFORMS: INSTITUTIONAL DIMENSION 数字创新技术平台的有效运行:制度维度
Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.33983/0130-9757-2022-5-83-100
Tatyana I. Volkova
The rapid development of complex digitalization processes, the formation and development of digital platforms is significantly ahead of the possibilities of their full-fledged, comprehensive, interdisciplinary understanding, both in theoretical and methodological, and organizational, managerial, and methodological aspects. The author of the article implements the target setting to fill the existing gaps in the study of platform-network interaction of agents of digital innovative technological platforms with an emphasis on its possible measurements and assessment. There is a certain difficulty in solving this popular problem, given the predominance of a formal-organizational approach in the corresponding evaluation system (moreover, for certain types of platforms). We have carried out a certain localization of the subject of study — the measurement of key parameters of platform-network interaction in the institutional aspect. A conceptual and institutional model for measuring the key qualitative parameters of the effective functioning of digital innovative technological platforms is proposed based on the synthesis of the provisions of the institutional theory and the theory of complex systems management, as well as the development and use of a system of organizational and economic criteria. Within the framework of the proposed conceptual and institutional model, an organizational and managerial development of measuring key parameters (organizational, informational, intellectual-technological, socio-economic) was carried out on the basis of tools: theoretical (information-network theory) and practical (the demanded model "structure-behavior-result", in the author’s interpretation). The system-forming factor of ensuring the fine tuning of a complex, often contradictory, multi-agent process of the effective functioning of innovative technological platforms is singled out. This is an intellectual and competence factor represented by highly qualified developers, managers, and experts with specialized interdisciplinary training. These author’s developments can find practical application as theoretical and methodological foundations for ensuring the productivity of business strategies and business models of Russian high-tech innovative companies — agents of digital platforms, including international ones. The developments are designed to reduce the level of uncertainty and risks that impede, as evidenced by foreign experience, the effective functioning of platforms and often lead to their destruction.
复杂数字化进程的快速发展,数字平台的形成和发展,在理论和方法以及组织、管理和方法方面,都大大超过了它们成熟、全面、跨学科理解的可能性。本文通过实施目标设置,填补了数字创新技术平台主体平台-网络交互研究的空白,重点是对其可能的测量和评估。考虑到在相应的评估体系中(此外,对于某些类型的平台),正式组织方法占主导地位,解决这个普遍存在的问题存在一定的困难。我们对研究课题进行了一定的定位——在制度层面对平台-网络互动关键参数的测量。在综合制度理论和复杂系统管理理论的基础上,提出了一个衡量数字创新技术平台有效运行关键定性参数的概念和制度模型,并开发和使用了一套组织和经济标准。在提出的概念和制度模型的框架内,测量关键参数(组织,信息,智力-技术,社会经济)的组织和管理发展是在工具的基础上进行的:理论(信息-网络理论)和实践(在作者的解释中,要求的模型“结构-行为-结果”)。指出了确保创新技术平台有效运作的复杂、经常是矛盾的多主体过程的微调的系统形成因素。这是一种智力和能力因素,由高素质的开发人员、管理人员和受过专门跨学科培训的专家代表。这些作者的发展可以作为确保俄罗斯高科技创新公司(包括国际数字平台的代理人)的商业战略和商业模式的生产力的理论和方法基础得到实际应用。这些发展旨在降低不确定性和风险的水平,正如国外经验所证明的那样,这些不确定性和风险阻碍了平台的有效运作,并经常导致平台被摧毁。
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引用次数: 0
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Russian Economic Journal
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