Undemocratic Protection for Democracy in Welfare States

Kun Heo
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Abstract

What could go wrong if we allow democracy to be democratic about its participatory qualifications? In this paper, I explore the sustainability of fair elections when parties can propose election laws affecting ethnic minorities’ voting rights with a game-theoretical model. In an infinitely repeated probabilistic voting game with complete information, I track the choice of voters in the single special election that defines voting rights discrimination for all future elections. In this model, whether the voters vote for or against fairer elections endogenously arises from the primitives of each game. The two main questions in the paper are: 1) Can we can expect fair elections to sustain themselves and 2) Can the socio-economic advances of minority status, such as residential integration or a rise in the number of rich minorities, guarantee fairer elections? This model finds that the answer to both questions is ‘no.’ Rather, the equilibrium outcome mostly depends on the size of the redistribution from the rich to the poor. In addition, the model shows that even social progress, such as residential integration, cannot guarantee the fairer-elections outcome if the government cannot reduce the size of redistribution to a very small amount by exempting the rich from taxation, regardless of the present electoral discrimination level. Economic progress of an ethnic minority may negate such conditions only when the rich ethnic minority is substantially richer than the rich ethnic majority, given the present level of discrimination.
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福利国家对民主的不民主保护
如果我们允许民主在其参与资格方面变得民主,会出现什么问题?本文运用博弈论模型,探讨了当政党可以提出影响少数民族选举权的选举法时,公平选举的可持续性。在一个具有完整信息的无限重复概率投票博弈中,我跟踪了一次特殊选举中选民的选择,该选举为所有未来的选举定义了投票权歧视。在这个模型中,选民是否投票支持或反对更公平的选举,是由每个博弈的原语内生地产生的。论文中的两个主要问题是:1)我们能否期望公平的选举能够自我维持? 2)少数民族地位的社会经济进步,如居民融合或富裕少数民族数量的增加,能否保证更公平的选举?这个模型发现两个问题的答案都是否定的。相反,均衡的结果主要取决于从富人到穷人的再分配规模。此外,该模型表明,如果政府不顾目前的选举歧视程度,不能通过免除富人的税收,将再分配的规模缩小到非常小的规模,即使是社会进步,如住宅一体化,也不能保证选举结果更加公平。鉴于目前的歧视程度,只有在富裕的少数民族比富裕的多数民族富裕得多的情况下,少数民族的经济进步才能消除这种条件。
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