Join to Prosper? An Empirical Analysis of EU Membership and Economic Growth

IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Kyklos Pub Date : 2019-02-07 DOI:10.1111/kykl.12200
Thomas Barnebeck Andersen, Mikkel Barslund, Pieter Vanhuysse
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

We explore whether EU membership has led to faster economic growth. Using different estimation strategies, different time periods, different country samples, and different datasets, we are unable to demonstrate the presence of a membership growth premium. This may reflect that GDP data are too noisy and/or causal identification too complicated, in which case we should remain agnostic about the EU's growth impact. Alternatively, it may reflect that EU membership simply has no effect on economic growth. Either way, these findings urge strong caution about one of EU membership's key alleged benefits: greater economic prosperity.

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加入繁荣?欧盟成员国身份与经济增长的实证分析
我们探讨欧盟成员身份是否导致了更快的经济增长。使用不同的估计策略、不同的时间段、不同的国家样本和不同的数据集,我们无法证明会员增长溢价的存在。这可能反映出GDP数据过于嘈杂和/或因果关系识别过于复杂,在这种情况下,我们应该对欧盟的增长影响保持不可知论。或者,这可能反映出欧盟成员国身份对经济增长根本没有影响。不管怎样,这些发现都敦促人们对欧盟成员国资格的一个所谓关键好处——更大的经济繁荣——保持强烈的警惕。
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来源期刊
Kyklos
Kyklos ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
10.50%
发文量
38
期刊介绍: KYKLOS views economics as a social science and as such favours contributions dealing with issues relevant to contemporary society, as well as economic policy applications. Since its inception nearly 60 years ago, KYKLOS has earned a worldwide reputation for publishing a broad range of articles from international scholars on real world issues. KYKLOS encourages unorthodox, original approaches to topical economic and social issues with a multinational application, and promises to give fresh insights into topics of worldwide interest
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