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When Climate Protection Prices out the Poor: The Resilience Paradox in Energy Access 当气候保护的价格高于穷人:能源获取的弹性悖论
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70032
Xue Lei

When governments invest millions in climate-resilient power grids, an unexpected consequence emerges: Energy bills soar so high that vulnerable families can no longer afford basic electricity. This study investigates how extreme climate risks influence household energy poverty through multiple transmission channels using comprehensive panel data linking household energy consumption patterns with detailed climate indicators. We find that extreme climate risks significantly exacerbate household energy poverty, creating what we term “adaptive inequality” where climate protection becomes a luxury good. The analysis reveals distinct transmission pathways: Infrastructure disruption increases system failure rates, while temperature extremes drive energy price volatility that disproportionately burdens low-income households. Heterogeneity analysis shows that families in regions with incomplete energy infrastructure, high natural disaster vulnerability, and limited economic resources face particularly severe impacts. Our findings demonstrate that climate adaptation creates “selective vulnerability” where identical policies simultaneously protect wealthy households while pushing poor ones into energy deprivation. These results challenge current policy frameworks that focus on building resilient systems while ignoring distributional consequences, suggesting the need for frameworks ensuring resilience does not become another form of social exclusion.

当政府投资数百万美元建设适应气候变化的电网时,一个意想不到的后果出现了:能源账单飙升到如此之高,以至于脆弱的家庭再也负担不起基本的电力。本研究利用综合面板数据,将家庭能源消费模式与详细的气候指标联系起来,探讨极端气候风险如何通过多种传输渠道影响家庭能源贫困。我们发现,极端气候风险显著加剧了家庭能源贫困,造成了我们所说的“适应性不平等”,在这种情况下,气候保护成为一种奢侈品。分析揭示了不同的传输路径:基础设施中断增加了系统故障率,而极端温度导致能源价格波动,给低收入家庭带来了不成比例的负担。异质性分析表明,能源基础设施不完善、自然灾害脆弱性高、经济资源有限地区的家庭受到的影响尤为严重。我们的研究结果表明,气候适应造成了“选择性脆弱性”,即相同的政策在保护富裕家庭的同时,将贫困家庭推向能源匮乏。这些结果挑战了当前侧重于建设弹性系统而忽视分配后果的政策框架,表明有必要建立确保弹性不会成为另一种形式的社会排斥的框架。
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引用次数: 0
Individualism and Economic Freedom 个人主义与经济自由
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-12 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70028
Lewis S. Davis, Nabamita Dutta

Does the Fraser Institute's Economic Freedom Index (EFI) constitute, as its proponents claim, a coherent measure of a classically liberal approach to economic governance? Noting the central role of individualism to liberalism, we provide evidence on this claim by investigating the empirical relationship between individualism and the EFI. Our findings suggest that there is a strong, positive relationship between individualism and the EFI. This relationship is robust to the use of alternative measures of individualism, to controls for a wide range of historical, cultural and institutional variables, and to the use of instrumental variable methods to address measurement and endogeneity issues. We also find evidence of a strong positive, causal relationship between individualism and four of the five components of the EFI. While these findings broadly support the claim that the EFI provides a measure of a classically liberal approach to economic governance, they also present challenges the empirical literature on the EFI. In particular, it is unclear whether liberal economic policies or the individualist values that underlie these policies are responsible for the positive relationship between the EFI and measures of social welfare.

弗雷泽研究所的经济自由指数(EFI)是否如其支持者所宣称的那样,构成了对古典自由主义经济治理方法的连贯衡量?注意到个人主义对自由主义的核心作用,我们通过调查个人主义和EFI之间的经验关系来为这一主张提供证据。我们的研究结果表明,个人主义和EFI之间存在着强烈的正相关关系。这种关系对于使用个人主义的替代措施,对广泛的历史,文化和制度变量的控制,以及使用工具变量方法来解决测量和内生性问题是稳健的。我们还发现了个人主义与EFI的五个组成部分中的四个之间存在强烈的积极因果关系的证据。虽然这些发现广泛地支持了EFI为经济治理提供经典自由主义方法的说法,但它们也对EFI的实证文献提出了挑战。特别是,目前尚不清楚是自由经济政策还是作为这些政策基础的个人主义价值观导致了EFI与社会福利措施之间的积极关系。
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引用次数: 0
Constitutional Political Economy and the Nature and Effects of Rights 宪政经济学与权利的性质与作用
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70030
Roger D. Congleton

Constitutional political economy theory implies that systems of rights can emerge from different processes, but the rights that initially emerge tend to be unequal and to change through time. In some cases, rights may become more equal and universal, but not often. If rights are consequential, then understanding their origins and the political, economic, and cultural processes that generate and support them is obviously important. This paper reviews CPE theories that provide a logical basis for thinking about the origins and evolution of rights and provides evidence that democratic politics and open markets tend to support relatively equal, broad, and universal rights.

宪法政治经济学理论认为,权利体系可以从不同的过程中产生,但最初产生的权利往往是不平等的,并随着时间的推移而变化。在某些情况下,权利可能会变得更加平等和普遍,但并非经常如此。如果权利是重要的,那么理解它们的起源以及产生和支持它们的政治、经济和文化过程显然是重要的。本文回顾了CPE理论,这些理论为思考权利的起源和演变提供了逻辑基础,并提供了民主政治和开放市场倾向于支持相对平等、广泛和普遍的权利的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Skyfall: A Survival Analysis of the IMF Executive Board Members 天降:国际货币基金组织执董会成员的生存分析
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-04 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70025
Elie Israël, Maqsood Aslam, Etienne Farvaque, Franck Malan

In the absence of a retirement age constraint at the IMF, this study explores the tenure persistence within the Board of Directors of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) from 2009 to 2021, through a survival analysis. The findings highlight that extrinsic factors, namely sovereign crises, banking crises, the ratio of debt-to-GDP, and political transformations, exert a predominant role in tenure longevity, while sociodemographic characteristics such as age, education, or gender have a negligible influence. In summary, survival within this board is primarily governed by geopolitical and economic variables rather than by individual attributes.

在国际货币基金组织没有退休年龄限制的情况下,本研究通过生存分析探讨了2009年至2021年国际货币基金组织(IMF)董事会成员的任期持续性。研究结果强调,外部因素,即主权危机、银行危机、债务与gdp的比率和政治转型,在任期寿命中发挥着主导作用,而年龄、教育或性别等社会人口特征的影响可以忽略不计。总而言之,这个委员会的生存主要取决于地缘政治和经济变量,而不是个人属性。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Age Diversity in Groups on Peer Evaluations and Individual Performance 群体年龄差异对同伴评价和个体绩效的影响
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70024
Katja Görlitz, Tim Sels

This study analyzes how individuals evaluate their peers' performance in a high-stakes tournament in response to being randomly assigned to an age homogenous or heterogenous group using data from two TV shows. The data also allow us to explore expert evaluations because it contains objective ratings from an independent expert. Additionally, this study investigates how age-diverse groups affect individual performance in professional golf tournaments. The results show that peer and expert evaluations as well as individual performance are lower in age-diverse groups. Further evidence suggests that these effects occur when group members are unfamiliar but fade away once group members have gotten to know each other.

本研究利用两个电视节目的数据,分析了个人在高风险比赛中如何评价同龄人的表现,以回应被随机分配到年龄相同或不同的群体。数据还允许我们探索专家评估,因为它包含来自独立专家的客观评级。此外,本研究还调查了年龄不同的群体如何影响个人在职业高尔夫锦标赛中的表现。结果表明,同龄人和专家的评价以及个人绩效在不同年龄的群体中都较低。进一步的证据表明,当群体成员不熟悉时,这种效应就会出现,但一旦群体成员相互了解,这种效应就会消失。
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引用次数: 0
The Cost of Hegemony: The Interplay Between Urban Concentration and Growth (1400–1800) 霸权的代价:城市集中与增长的相互作用(1400-1800)
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70022
Antonio Iodice, Luigi Oddo, Andrea Zanini

The article investigates the influence of institutional frameworks on spatial development patterns in the preindustrial world, exploring how the degree of urban concentration may determine whether societies experienced urbanization ‘with’ or ‘without’ growth. We hypothesize that the emergence of centralized/extractive institutions in the capital city, which tend to siphon resources from hinterland cities, results in artificially inflated urbanization levels despite congestion problems and economic stagnation. In contrast, decentralized/inclusive institutions, fostering a balanced and autonomous urbanization process, are associated with economic growth. We conduct a historical and empirical analysis of the Republic of Genoa from 1400 to 1800. Our findings suggest that extractive and centralized institutions in the capital city of Genoa led to centralized and congested urban growth, restricting the autonomy and expansion of peripheral cities and negatively impacting the Republic's overall economic development, at least until new policies were enacted in the eighteenth century. Consequently, the emergence of more inclusive institutions fostered the development of peripheral cities, resulting in urbanization that was more balanced and coupled with economic growth. This pattern shows that urbanization is virtuous when decoupled from urban concentration, whereas their simultaneous increase reflects economic stagnation, integrating both urbanization ‘with’ and ‘without’ growth into a unified framework.

本文研究了制度框架对前工业化世界空间发展模式的影响,探讨了城市集中度如何决定社会是否经历了“有”或“无”增长的城市化。我们假设,在首都出现的集中式/采掘式机构,往往会从内陆城市吸走资源,导致人为地夸大了城市化水平,尽管存在拥堵问题和经济停滞。相比之下,分散/包容性的制度,促进平衡和自主的城市化进程,与经济增长有关。我们对热那亚共和国从1400年到1800年进行了历史和实证分析。我们的研究结果表明,至少在18世纪新政策颁布之前,首都热那亚的采掘性和集中化制度导致了城市集中和拥挤的增长,限制了周边城市的自治和扩张,并对共和国的整体经济发展产生了负面影响。因此,更具包容性的制度的出现促进了周边城市的发展,从而使城市化更加平衡,并与经济增长相结合。这种模式表明,当城市化与城市集中度脱钩时,城市化是良性的,而它们的同时增长反映了经济停滞,将“有”和“没有”增长的城市化整合到一个统一的框架中。
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引用次数: 0
Vertical Transfers, Political Alignment, and Efficiency in Local Government 垂直转移、政治结盟与地方政府效率
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70023
Isabel Narbón-Perpiñá, Maria Teresa Balaguer-Coll, Diego Prior, Emili Tortosa-Ausina

When decentralized governments share the public budget, distributive policies are needed to allocate public goods and services among them. To date, however, both the theoretical and empirical literature has largely examined the effect of political orientation on the quantity of transfers received, without considering how efficiently they are managed. This article aims to fill this gap by linking the literature on political alignment and transfers with work on public sector efficiency. Specifically, we examine how bureaucratic input choices might be related to political orientation and political sign and how political coordination between local and higher levels of government could lead to inefficiencies due to clientelism, corrupt practices, or lack of transparency. Our results suggest that political alignment between local governments and higher level governments may lead to a decrease in public sector efficiency, which is detrimental to distributive policies.

当权力下放的政府分担公共预算时,需要有分配政策来在它们之间分配公共产品和服务。然而,迄今为止,理论和实证文献都主要研究了政治倾向对收到的转移数量的影响,而没有考虑如何有效地管理这些转移。本文旨在通过将有关政治结盟和转移支付的文献与有关公共部门效率的工作联系起来,填补这一空白。具体而言,我们研究了官僚主义投入选择如何与政治取向和政治标志相关,以及地方和更高级别政府之间的政治协调如何导致由于裙带关系、腐败行为或缺乏透明度而导致的效率低下。我们的研究结果表明,地方政府与上级政府之间的政治结盟可能导致公共部门效率下降,这不利于分配政策。
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引用次数: 0
Tactical Refereeing and Signaling by Publishing 战术裁判和发布信号
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-11 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70021
Sergey V. Popov

Peer review is usually conducted to allocate limited resources, such as the budget of a funder or the pages of a journal. Limited capacity may bias peer evaluations, precisely because approving a peer's worthy project consumes capacity, jeopardizing the referee's own project's chances. I show that limiting capacity is inconsistent with a hypothesis that the decision-maker desires to stimulate efforts. I show that the desire to strengthen the signaling message of the acceptance decision could lead to limiting the capacity, endogenously creating a tragedy of informational commons problem.

同行评议通常是为了分配有限的资源,例如资助者的预算或期刊的页数。有限的能力可能会影响同行的评估,正是因为批准同行的有价值的项目消耗了能力,危及了裁判自己的项目的机会。我表明,限制能力与决策者希望刺激努力的假设不一致。我表明,加强接受决定的信号信息的愿望可能导致限制能力,内源性地造成信息公地问题的悲剧。
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引用次数: 0
Regulatory Burdens, Corruption, and Informal Competition: Determinants of Incorporation in Bangladesh 监管负担、腐败和非正式竞争:孟加拉国公司成立的决定因素
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70020
Asaf Ibne Salim, Muhammad Nazmul Khan, Syed Abul Basher

This paper examines how specific characteristics of the business environment, namely, procedural delays, exposure to bribery, and the presence of informal competitors, affect the incorporation decisions of firms in Bangladesh. Drawing on three rounds of data from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys, the analysis employs instrumental variable regressions, using group-level cell averages constructed by region, industry, and firm size to address endogeneity concerns. The findings reveal that longer waiting times for permits and greater management time spent on regulatory compliance significantly reduce the likelihood of incorporation. In contrast, firms experiencing higher bribery costs and more frequent solicitation of bribe payments are more likely to incorporate. In addition, competition from informal firms reduces the probability of incorporation.

本文考察了商业环境的具体特征,即程序延迟、暴露于贿赂和非正式竞争者的存在,如何影响孟加拉国公司的注册决策。利用来自世界银行企业调查的三轮数据,分析采用工具变量回归,使用按地区、行业和企业规模构建的群体水平单元平均值来解决内生性问题。调查结果显示,较长的许可证等待时间和在法规遵从上花费的更多管理时间大大降低了公司成立的可能性。相比之下,那些贿赂成本较高、要求行贿更频繁的公司更有可能成立公司。此外,来自非正式企业的竞争降低了合并的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Does Character Matter When Everyone Cheats? Peer Influence and Environmental Drivers of Academic Misconduct 当每个人都作弊时,性格还重要吗?学术不端行为的同伴影响和环境驱动因素
IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-22 DOI: 10.1111/kykl.70017
Thomas Ehrmann, Lukas M. Ludes, Matthias Reindl

This study examines academic dishonesty among university students, focusing on peer influence, detection risk, effort, and sanctions in proctored online and offline exams. Drawing on 259 survey responses collected from German universities after the COVID-19-driven transition to online formats, it applies a utility-based framework, combined with Probit and Logit regressions. The findings robustly demonstrate that perceived peer cheating is the most significant determinant, significantly elevating individual cheating likelihood by reducing perceived detection risks, thereby normalizing dishonest behavior. Although self-reported cheating is more common in online settings, the analysis shows that it is weak enforcement and lower monitoring, rather than the exam format itself, that elevate misconduct. Students who dedicate substantial preparation time or hold strong ethical convictions are less likely to cheat, while sanctions prove ineffective unless coupled with a credible probability of detection. By quantifying these drivers in a controlled academic setting, this study provides fresh insights into how peer contagion, detection risk, and contextual factors interact to shape dishonest behavior. The results underscore the need for robust proctoring, clear sanction policies, and efforts to strengthen social norms, particularly as online and hybrid assessments continue to expand.

本研究考察了大学生的学术不诚实行为,重点关注同伴影响、检测风险、努力和对监考在线和离线考试的制裁。在新冠肺炎疫情推动下向在线格式过渡后,该报告利用了从德国大学收集的259份调查回复,采用了基于效用的框架,并结合了Probit和Logit回归。研究结果有力地证明,感知同伴作弊是最重要的决定因素,通过降低感知被发现的风险,显著提高了个体作弊的可能性,从而使不诚实行为正常化。尽管自报作弊在网络环境中更为常见,但分析显示,导致作弊行为增多的是执法不力和监管不力,而不是考试形式本身。投入大量准备时间或有强烈道德信念的学生不太可能作弊,而制裁是无效的,除非加上可信的发现概率。通过在受控的学术环境中量化这些驱动因素,本研究为同伴传染、发现风险和环境因素如何相互作用以形成不诚实行为提供了新的见解。研究结果强调,需要强有力的监督、明确的制裁政策,并努力加强社会规范,尤其是在在线和混合评估不断扩大的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
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Kyklos
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