Effects of Football on Stock Markets: Return-Volatility Relationship

H. Berument, N. Ceylan
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Abstract

This paper assesses the effects of domestic football teams’ performances against foreign rivals on stock market returns as well as on the return-volatility relationship. The data from Chile, Spain, Turkey and the United Kingdom support the propositions that the results of football teams in international cups affect (i) stock market returns and (ii) the risk-return relationship. Evidence from Spain and the UK (countries considered football powerhouses) suggest that losses are associated with lower returns and higher risk aversion (agents become less risk loving) but the evidence from Chile and Turkey (where football is the most important sport but the teams are not as successful) reveals that wins are associated with higher returns and lower risk aversion (agents become more risk loving).
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足球对股票市场的影响:收益-波动关系
本文评估了国内足球队对外国对手的表现对股票市场收益以及收益-波动关系的影响。来自智利、西班牙、土耳其和英国的数据支持足球队在国际杯赛中的结果影响(i)股市收益和(ii)风险回报关系的命题。来自西班牙和英国(被认为是足球强国的国家)的证据表明,失败与低回报和高风险厌恶有关(经纪人变得不那么喜欢冒险),但来自智利和土耳其(足球是最重要的运动,但球队不那么成功)的证据表明,胜利与高回报和低风险厌恶有关(经纪人变得更喜欢冒险)。
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