Spatial Comparison and Quality Check of Farmer-recorded Daily Rainfall Data; A Case of Nyakach and Soin-sigowett, Kenya

Mawora Thomas Mwakudisa, Edgar Ouko Otumba, J. Otieno
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Abstract

Small scale farming is currently still heavily dependent on rainfall in developing nations. With the challenge of climate change, many innovations are proposed to help the farmers mitigate and adapt. The use of historical data provides a starting point in development of decision support tools for them. However, most climate data are not local, but far from the farmers. Thus, the challenge of representability of the data is questioned. In order to use the decision support tools with farmers at Nyakach and Soin-Sigowett, Kenya, historical data was used from a synoptic station 20 km away. The locals felt it was not representative enough, hence the need to look for more local data. In 2014, a CCAFS project empowered 100 farmers from the region with low cost rain gauges to collect and record their own data for use in decision support tools. In this paper, we look at the quality of the data comparing it to the KMS data. Line graphs were used to compare the total seasonal rain for more than 30 years with the farmers perception. In addition, pairwise t-tests have been used to compare difference in farmers recorded rain to the value at the synoptic station. Data from volunteer stations have also been used to confirm the validity of the spatial difference in the data. The results showed that quality of the farmers data is adequate for use. Further, data from farmers deviated from the main synoptic station half of the time. The results clearly show that there is need to allow locals collect their own data to help capture the spatial differences in climate. The farmers recorded data was good quality hence can be used in decision support tools to help them adapt to possible climate change.
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农户日降水数据的空间比较与质量检验肯尼亚Nyakach和Soin-sigowett案例
在发展中国家,小规模农业目前仍严重依赖降雨。面对气候变化的挑战,人们提出了许多创新措施来帮助农民减轻和适应气候变化。历史数据的使用为他们提供了开发决策支持工具的起点。然而,大多数气候数据不是本地的,而是远离农民的。因此,数据的可表示性的挑战受到质疑。为了对肯尼亚尼亚卡赫和Soin-Sigowett的农民使用决策支持工具,使用了20公里外天气观测站的历史数据。当地人认为这不够具有代表性,因此需要寻找更多的当地数据。2014年,CCAFS项目为该地区的100名农民提供了低成本雨量计,使他们能够收集和记录自己的数据,用于决策支持工具。在本文中,我们将数据的质量与KMS数据进行比较。使用线形图比较了30多年来的季节性总降雨量与农民的感知。此外,两两t检验已被用于比较农民记录的雨量与天气观测站的数值的差异。我们还利用志愿者站的数据来验证数据空间差异的有效性。结果表明,农民数据的质量是足够的。此外,来自农民的数据有一半的时间偏离了主天气站。结果清楚地表明,有必要允许当地人收集自己的数据,以帮助捕捉气候的空间差异。农民记录的数据质量良好,因此可用于决策支持工具,帮助他们适应可能发生的气候变化。
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