Research on intelligent evaluation model of transient stability based on K-means grouping

Xiancheng Ren, Yin Zhang, Feng Wu, H. Yuan, Jinlong Zhang, Haijun Chang
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Abstract

In a large number of actual power system operation scenarios, the transient instability scenarios are far smaller than the stable operation scenarios. In the case of imbalanced samples, the rapid transient stability assessment based on machine learning will lead to the learning algorithm preferring to the majority of classes with more samples, thus causing the problem of missing judgment for the transient instability scenarios. This paper proposes an under-sampling method for grouping majority class samples based on K-means. Under the constraint that the proportion of stable samples and unstable samples meets certain conditions, the majority of class stable samples are grouped with the center sample and the sample nearest to the center sample as initial values, and the K-means algorithm is adopted. By regrouping the samples of the majority class successively, multiple training sample subsets composed of unstable samples and multiple groups of stable samples are finally formed. Model training is performed for each training sample set, and the evaluation model of the new mode is judged by the comprehensive distance from the unstable center sample and the stable center sample of each sample subset, and then the transient stability judgment is carried out, so as to improve the accuracy of rapid evaluation under the unbalanced condition of training samples. The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by an actual power grid example.
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基于k均值分组的暂态稳定智能评估模型研究
在大量的电力系统实际运行场景中,暂态不稳定运行场景远小于稳定运行场景。在样本不平衡的情况下,基于机器学习的快速暂态稳定性评估会导致学习算法倾向于大多数样本较多的类,从而导致暂态不稳定场景的判断缺失问题。本文提出了一种基于k均值的多数类样本分组欠抽样方法。在稳定样本和不稳定样本的比例满足一定条件的约束下,大多数类稳定样本以中心样本和最靠近中心样本的样本作为初始值分组,采用K-means算法。通过对多数类的样本进行先后重组,最终形成由不稳定样本和多组稳定样本组成的多个训练样本子集。对每个训练样本集进行模型训练,通过对每个样本子集的不稳定中心样本和稳定中心样本的综合距离来判断新模式的评价模型,然后进行暂态稳定性判断,从而提高了训练样本不平衡条件下快速评价的准确性。通过实际电网算例验证了该方法的有效性。
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