A Quantitative Analysis of Oklahoma Commutations Prior to Mcgirt v. Oklahoma

Robb Elton
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Abstract

In Oklahoma, incarceration rates represent near highest rates nationally. Which influences drive this statistic? Solely criminality? Perhaps political stonewalling? Commutation is a small, powerful procedural variable in criminal justice. In attempting to understand the flow of the commutation process, applicant demographics were analyzed using statistical techniques. The results bear out a strong correlation between recidivism and referral of recommendations for commutation to the governor. Parole board behaviors may underscore larger penological or criminological problems. Perhaps, through further studies such as this, there can begin alleviation of current and future problems in correctional and public policy, particularly as relates to adopting evidence-based approaches in commutation considerations in the post-McGirt era.
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Mcgirt诉Oklahoma案前俄克拉荷马州减刑的定量分析
在俄克拉荷马州,监禁率几乎是全国最高的。是什么影响了这个数据?仅仅是犯罪吗?也许是政治上的阻碍?减刑是刑事司法中一个小而有力的程序变量。为了了解交换过程的流程,使用统计技术分析了申请人的人口统计数据。结果表明,再犯与向州长提交减刑建议之间存在很强的相关性。假释委员会的行为可能凸显出更大的刑罚或犯罪问题。也许,通过诸如此类的进一步研究,可以开始缓解当前和未来在惩教和公共政策方面的问题,特别是在后麦克吉特时代,在减刑考虑方面采用循证方法。
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