River Water Quality Parameters Prediction Method Based on LSTM-RNN Model

Qiangqiang Ye, Xueqin Yang, Chaobo Chen, Jingcheng Wang
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引用次数: 29

Abstract

This paper investigates the characteristics of dynamic nonlinearity and correlation of water quality parameter information, as well as the gradient disappearance and gradient explosion caused by the training data of traditional RNN network model, etc. The long short-term memory network structure (LSTM) is introduced to optimize the structure of RNN network and the connection weight and threshold of hidden layer. A new water quality parameter prediction model of LSTM-RNN network based on improved RNN network structure is proposed by setting the number of storage units in the hidden layer of the network, the number of structural layers of the network model, and adjusting the time window size of the data training set. Combined with the water quality monitoring data of the River in Shanghai, the model is used to predict and verify the main pollutant index COD (potassium permanganate index) in the River. The simulation results show that compared with the traditional GM (grey model) and RNN network water quality prediction model, the sample approximation accuracy and generalization ability of the training prediction based on LSTM-RNN network model is higher and better than that of the traditional GM (grey model) and RNN network model. Good comprehensive prediction performance of river water quality is presented.
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基于LSTM-RNN模型的河流水质参数预测方法
本文研究了水质参数信息的动态非线性和相关性特征,以及传统RNN网络模型训练数据引起的梯度消失和梯度爆炸等问题。引入长短期记忆网络结构(LSTM)来优化RNN网络的结构以及隐层的连接权和阈值。通过设置网络隐藏层的存储单元个数、网络模型的结构层数以及调整数据训练集的时间窗大小,提出了一种基于改进RNN网络结构的LSTM-RNN网络水质参数预测模型。结合上海市河流水质监测数据,运用该模型对上海市河流主要污染物指标COD(高锰酸钾指数)进行了预测和验证。仿真结果表明,与传统的GM(灰色模型)和RNN网络水质预测模型相比,基于LSTM-RNN网络模型的训练预测样本逼近精度和泛化能力均高于传统GM(灰色模型)和RNN网络模型。具有较好的河流水质综合预测性能。
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