Convergence Analysis of 5 Suicide Measures for 57 Countries During 1995 to 2015

Yu Sang Chang
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Abstract

An estimated 804,000 suicide deaths occurred in 2012, representing an annual global age-standardized suicide ratio of 11.4 per 100,000 populations. Suicide ratios are not distributed evenly across people or places, varying by income level, gender, and age. Changes in suicide ratios over time also differ across people and places. This paper will examine dynamic changes of suicide ratios across 5 suicide measures for 57 countries as well as for 8 subgroups of countries during the period of 1995 to 2015 using the method of convergence analysis. The results show a wide variation in terms of annual reduction rate of suicide ratios and annual speed of catch-up effects by the subgroups of countries across the 5 suicide measures. Implications from these findings will be discussed.
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1995 - 2015年57个国家5项自杀措施的趋同分析
2012年估计有80.4万例自杀死亡,相当于每年全球年龄标准化自杀率为每10万人11.4例。自杀率在不同人群或地区的分布并不均匀,因收入水平、性别和年龄而异。自杀率随时间的变化也因人群和地区而异。本文将采用收敛分析的方法,研究1995年至2015年期间57个国家和8个国家的5种自杀措施中自杀率的动态变化。结果显示,在五种自杀措施的国家分组中,自杀率的年下降率和追赶效应的年速度存在很大差异。我们将讨论这些发现的意义。
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