Financial forecasting based on artificial neural networks: Promising directions for modeling

W. Roshan, R. Gopura, A. Jayasekara
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Financial forecasting plays a critical role in present economic context where neural networks have become a good alternative technique over traditional methods. Vast ranges of neural models are developed to achieve better accuracy in forecasting. In addition, the ways to find out a good neural architecture is being explored by the research community. In the literature, main problems are figured out within the area of data preparing and neural network design. In this paper, the reasons that affect the performance of the models are discussed based on empirical and mathematical evidence. Finally, this paper presents the directions towards a more suitable neural model for financial forecasting by combining data preprocessing techniques, clustering techniques and support vector machine.
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基于人工神经网络的财务预测:建模的有前途的方向
在当前经济环境下,神经网络已成为传统预测方法的一种很好的替代技术,金融预测起着至关重要的作用。为了提高预测的准确性,人们开发了大量的神经模型。此外,研究团体正在探索找出良好神经结构的方法。在文献中,指出了数据准备和神经网络设计领域的主要问题。本文从实证和数学的角度探讨了影响模型性能的原因。最后,结合数据预处理技术、聚类技术和支持向量机技术,提出了构建更适合金融预测的神经模型的方向。
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