ՀՀ արտաքին առևտրի առկա վիճակը․ արտահանման և ներմուծման ինտենսիվություն

Tigran Mikayelyan
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Abstract

The purpose of this article is to conduct a comprehensive analysis of Armenian foreign trade on the main trends of exports, imports, trade turnover, exported and imported partner countries, and major commodity groups. In addition, the article calculated the Armenian export and import intensity index with several partner countries. The task of the work is to identify the main trends in Armenian foreign trade and assess the opportunities and potential for trade development. In this context, through a comparative analysis of comparable historical series, the author presented the trade processes recorded in Armenia during the years under review, identifying the main trends and directions. The research results show that the Armenian foreign trade processes have limited diversification both by the exported and imported group of partner countries and by commodity groups. On the other hand, due to the foreign trade intensity index, a number of unrealized opportunities have been identified among the EAEU member states (with the exception of Russia) and with China and European countries. In this context, the unrealized trade opportunities and their realization will directly affect both the Republic of Armenia's foreign trade and the economy's development as a whole. Thus, a comprehensive analysis of the Armenian foreign trade and an assessment of the intensity of exports and imports give reason to believe that we continue to fix diversification problems in individual commodity groups and foreign trade countries. In addition, the intensity of Armenia's foreign trade, due to various objective reasons, continues to be concentrated around several countries. All above-mentioned create problems in developing local production and increasing international competitiveness.
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本文的目的是对亚美尼亚对外贸易的主要趋势进行全面分析,包括出口、进口、贸易额、进出口伙伴国和主要商品类别。此外,本文还计算了亚美尼亚与几个伙伴国的进出口强度指数。这项工作的任务是确定亚美尼亚对外贸易的主要趋势,并评估贸易发展的机会和潜力。在这方面,通过对可比历史序列的比较分析,作者介绍了在审查期间亚美尼亚记录的贸易进程,确定了主要趋势和方向。研究结果表明,亚美尼亚对外贸易进程在进出口伙伴国家集团和商品集团方面的多样化程度有限。另一方面,由于对外贸易强度指数,在欧亚经济联盟成员国(俄罗斯除外)之间以及与中国和欧洲国家之间发现了许多未实现的机会。在这种情况下,未实现的贸易机会及其实现将直接影响亚美尼亚共和国的对外贸易和整个经济发展。因此,对亚美尼亚对外贸易的全面分析和对进出口强度的评估使我们有理由相信,我们继续解决个别商品集团和外贸国家的多样化问题。此外,由于各种客观原因,亚美尼亚对外贸易的强度继续集中在几个国家。所有这些都给发展当地生产和提高国际竞争力带来了问题。
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