Bagaimana Harga Komoditas Unggulan dan Volume Ekspor Sumatera Selatan sebelum dan saat Pandemi Covid - 19

Emilda Emilda, M. Ulum, R. Roswaty
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Abstract

This research is not only aimed at analyzing whether there are significant differences in the price levels of world rubber and palm oil commodities, and the value of exports in South Sumatra. But also, to find out how the influence of world rubber and palm prices on export levels in South Sumatra. The data in this study are monthly data on world rubber prices, world palm prices, and South Sumatra's export values before the pandemic (January 2018 - February 2020) and data on world rubber prices, world palm prices, and South Sumatra's export values during the pandemic (March 2020 – April 2022). Data analysis techniques in this study used SPSS and Eviews. This study uses SPSS in conducting an independent sample t-test to find out differences in world rubber prices, world palm prices, and South Sumatra's export values before and during the pandemic. Meanwhile, to find out whether there is an effect of world rubber prices and world palm prices on export levels in South Sumatra, a multiple regression test was carried out using Eviews. The results of this study indicate that there are differences in world rubber prices, world palm prices, and South Sumatra's export levels before and during the Covid-19 outbreak. Based on the results of the regression test, world rubber prices have an effect on export levels in South Sumatra, while world palm prices have no significant effect on export levels in South Sumatra. However, world rubber prices and world palm prices simultaneously affect the level of exports in South Sumatra. The government is expected to be able to support the development of downstream rubber and palm oil processing industries in order to increase the added value of rubber and palm products, increase production of rubber and palm oil, and export activities.
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在Covid - 19大流行之前和期间,南苏门答腊的大宗商品价格和出口体积是如何衡量的
本研究不仅旨在分析世界橡胶和棕榈油商品的价格水平是否存在显著差异,以及南苏门答腊的出口价值。同时也是为了了解世界橡胶和棕榈价格对南苏门答腊出口水平的影响。本研究中的数据是大流行前(2018年1月至2020年2月)世界橡胶价格、世界棕榈价格和南苏门答腊出口值的月度数据,以及大流行期间(2020年3月至2022年4月)世界橡胶价格、世界棕榈价格和南苏门答腊出口值的数据。本研究的数据分析技术采用SPSS和Eviews。本研究使用SPSS进行独立样本t检验,以找出世界橡胶价格、世界棕榈价格和南苏门答腊出口价值在大流行之前和期间的差异。同时,为了确定世界橡胶价格和世界棕榈价格对南苏门答腊出口水平是否有影响,使用Eviews进行了多元回归检验。本研究结果表明,在疫情爆发之前和期间,世界橡胶价格、世界棕榈价格和南苏门答腊的出口水平存在差异。根据回归检验的结果,世界橡胶价格对南苏门答腊的出口水平有影响,而世界棕榈价格对南苏门答腊的出口水平没有显著影响。然而,世界橡胶价格和世界棕榈价格同时影响南苏门答腊的出口水平。预计政府将能够支持下游橡胶和棕榈油加工业的发展,以增加橡胶和棕榈产品的附加值,增加橡胶和棕榈油的产量和出口活动。
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