Demographic Transition in Sub-Saharan Africa: From Grassroots to Ivory Towers

Kelvin Melkizedeck Leshabari
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The concept of demographic transition has been evident to European, North American and Japanese population since the early 1960’s. It loosely followed natural patterns that were postulated as far back as 1795. However, scientists and policy makers, still erroneously consider demographic transition to be absent in sub-Saharan Africa. The aim of this chapter is to uncover the hidden truth behind population censa in sub-Sahara African countries using Statistical tools. The chapter analyses philosophical basis of sub-Saharan Africa demographic dividends from 1960 to 2000. It then cautiously highlights how demographic transition is emerging in sub-Saharan Africa. Specifically, it endeavours to highlight how different African countries are in different stages of demographic transition. The chapter also contrasts some of the prevalent misconceptions about Africans, especially the delusional idea of Africans as a homogenous population group on genetic basis. Lastly, it offers solution, to the current demographic chaos, and their relationship to future matured demographic transition in sub-Saharan Africa.
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撒哈拉以南非洲的人口转型:从基层到象牙塔
自20世纪60年代初以来,人口转型的概念在欧洲、北美和日本人口中已经很明显。它松散地遵循了早在1795年就提出的自然模式。然而,科学家和决策者仍然错误地认为撒哈拉以南非洲没有人口转型。本章的目的是利用统计工具揭示撒哈拉以南非洲国家人口普查背后隐藏的真相。本章分析了撒哈拉以南非洲1960 - 2000年人口红利的哲学基础。然后,它谨慎地强调了撒哈拉以南非洲的人口转型是如何出现的。具体地说,它努力突出非洲国家在人口转型的不同阶段是如何不同的。本章还对比了一些关于非洲人的普遍误解,特别是非洲人在遗传基础上是一个同质人口群体的错觉。最后,它提供了解决方案,目前的人口混乱,以及他们的关系,未来成熟的人口转型在撒哈拉以南非洲。
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