Agnostic Local Explanation for Time Series Classification

Maël Guillemé, Véronique Masson, L. Rozé, A. Termier
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引用次数: 27

Abstract

Recent advances in Machine Learning (such as Deep Learning) have brought tremendous gains in classification accuracy. However, these approaches build complex non-linear models, making the resulting predictions difficult to interpret for humans. The field of model interpretability has therefore recently emerged, aiming to address this issue by designing methods to explain a posteriori the predictions of complex learners. Interpretability frameworks such as LIME and SHAP have been proposed for tabular, image and text data. Nowadays, with the advent of the Internet of Things and of pervasive monitoring, time-series have become ubiquitous and their classification is a crucial task in many application domains. Like in other data domains, state-of-the-art time-series classifiers rely on complex models and typically do not provide intuitive and easily interpretable outputs, yet no interpretability framework had so far been proposed for this type of data. In this paper, we propose the first agnostic Local Explainer For TIme Series classificaTion (LEFTIST). LEFTIST provides explanations for predictions made by any time series classifier. Our thorough experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets show that the explanations provided by LEFTIST are at once faithful to the classification model and understandable by human users.
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时间序列分类的不可知论局部解释
机器学习(如深度学习)的最新进展在分类准确性方面带来了巨大的进步。然而,这些方法建立了复杂的非线性模型,使得最终的预测难以为人类解释。因此,模型可解释性领域最近出现了,旨在通过设计解释复杂学习者预测的后验方法来解决这一问题。对于表格、图像和文本数据,已经提出了诸如LIME和SHAP之类的可解释性框架。如今,随着物联网和无孔不入监控的出现,时间序列变得无处不在,时间序列的分类是许多应用领域的关键任务。与其他数据领域一样,最先进的时间序列分类器依赖于复杂的模型,通常不能提供直观和易于解释的输出,但迄今为止还没有针对这类数据提出可解释性框架。在本文中,我们提出了时间序列分类的第一个不可知论局部解释器(左派)。left为任何时间序列分类器所做的预测提供解释。我们在合成数据集和真实世界数据集上的彻底实验表明,左派提供的解释既忠实于分类模型,又能被人类用户理解。
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