Implied volatility functions: empirical tests

B. Dumas, Jeff Fleming, R. Whaley
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引用次数: 1300

Abstract

Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black/Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the underlying asset's return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time and develop the deterministic volatility function (DVF) option valuation model, which has the potential of fitting the observed cross-section of option prices exactly. Using a sample of S and P 500 index options during the period June 1988 through December 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive and hedging performance of the DVF option valuation model.
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隐含波动率函数:实证检验
Black和Scholes(1973)的隐含波动率往往与期权的行权价格和到期时间系统相关。Derman和Kani(1994)、Dupire(1994)和Rubinstein(1994)将这种行为归因于实践中违背了Black/Scholes恒定波动假设。假设标的资产收益的波动率是资产价格和时间的确定性函数,并建立了确定性波动率函数(DVF)期权估值模型,该模型具有准确拟合观察到的期权价格横截面的潜力。利用1988年6月至1993年12月期间的标准普尔500指数期权样本,我们通过检验DVF期权估值模型的预测和对冲性能来评估隐含确定性波动率函数的经济意义。
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