Construction projects risk assessment based on fuzzy AHP

A. Gohar, M. Khanzadi, M. Parchami Jalal, A. A. Shirzadi Javid
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

A project must complete in predetermined time and quality according to limited budget. Therefore the risk management of project is very important to succeed in project. One of the most important steps in risk management process is identifying risk factors of a project. In this study, the important risk factors are categorized into two main groups as internal factors and external factors. Each main group consists of several factors. A prevalent problem that is investigated by researchers in project risk management is specifying risks of threats to which the project is exposed. For evaluating the risk of threats, we rank them in terms of their probability and severity. In this study risk evaluation of construction project is investigated by the proposed fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (FAHP). The risk factors are prioritized by using analytical hierarchy process. For illustrating the FAHP method and its application for construction project risk assessment, a case study is presented.
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基于模糊层次分析法的建设项目风险评价
一个项目必须在有限的预算下,按预定的时间和质量完成。因此,项目风险管理对项目的成功至关重要。风险管理过程中最重要的步骤之一是识别项目的风险因素。本研究将重要的危险因素分为内部因素和外部因素两大类。每个主要组由几个因素组成。在项目风险管理中,研究人员研究的一个普遍问题是确定项目所面临的威胁的风险。为了评估威胁的风险,我们根据它们的概率和严重程度对它们进行排序。本文采用提出的模糊层次分析法(FAHP)对建设项目的风险评价进行了研究。采用层次分析法对风险因素进行排序。为说明FAHP方法及其在建设项目风险评估中的应用,给出了一个实例。
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