Progress in Flood Risk Assessment at Regional Scale

Chen Hao-rui, Wang Shao-li
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Abstract

Global climate changes and human activities have a profound impact on disaster environment and formation mechanism of waterlogging disaster, exacerbating the uncertainty of waterlogging disaster and highlighting complexity and difficulty coping with the water disasters of farmland. A large number of researches on risk assessment and prediction of flood disaster have been carried out at home and abroad, and this study concluded the research progress of this direction in recent years in terms of six aspects including the connotation of disaster risk, comprehensive assessment of flood risk based on index system, the numerical models of flood disaster risk assessment, the regularity analysis of different carriers, the influence of environment changes on flood disaster risk and uncertainty of flood disaster and finally analyzed problems in the research and the future directions of development.
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区域尺度洪水风险评估研究进展
全球气候变化和人类活动对内涝灾害的灾害环境和形成机制产生了深刻影响,加剧了内涝灾害的不确定性,凸显了农田水害应对的复杂性和难度。国内外对洪涝灾害风险评估与预测进行了大量的研究,本文从灾害风险内涵、基于指标体系的洪涝风险综合评价、洪涝灾害风险评估数值模型、不同载体的规律性分析、洪涝灾害风险预测等六个方面总结了近年来该方向的研究进展。环境变化对洪涝灾害风险的影响和洪涝灾害的不确定性,最后分析了研究中存在的问题和未来的发展方向。
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