Volatility Estimation in the Era of High-Frequency Finance

Sibo Yan, Da Yan
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Over the last two decades, ultra-high frequency (or tick-by-tick) transaction data has become increasingly available. This surge of high-frequency finance data has brought disruptive revolution that makes modeling asset prices as continuous-time processes more possible than ever before. This is because we can now witness market microstructures and stock market volatility over tiny time intervals. This chapter reviews some general frameworks like realized volatility (RV) in estimating the latent volatility and their recent developments in the era of high-frequency finance. New empirical facts are presented to help lay the foundation for creating intraday volatility models that can overcome noise interferences in high-frequency finance data. These facts also help explain some stock market anomalies like volatility jumps and flash crashes, which favor intraday RV over the traditionally used daily RV as a reliable physical measure of market risk.
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高频金融时代的波动率估计
在过去的二十年中,超高频(或滴答滴答)交易数据变得越来越可用。高频金融数据的激增带来了颠覆性的革命,使得将资产价格建模为连续时间过程比以往任何时候都更有可能。这是因为我们现在可以在很短的时间间隔内见证市场微观结构和股市波动。本章回顾了已实现波动率(RV)等估计潜在波动率的一般框架及其在高频金融时代的最新发展。提出了新的经验事实,以帮助建立日内波动率模型奠定基础,该模型可以克服高频金融数据中的噪声干扰。这些事实也有助于解释一些股市异常现象,如波动性跃升和闪电崩盘,这些现象更倾向于将日内RV作为衡量市场风险的可靠物理指标,而不是传统上使用的每日RV。
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