The equity premium and inflation

J. Beirne, G. D. de Bondt
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

This empirical study examines the relation between the equity premium – the difference between the expected stock and risk-free return – and inflation in the major economies in the post-Bretton Woods era. We estimate a country-average level of the equity premium between 0.8% and 2%, confirming a shrinking premium. Regressions and impulse responses show that the equity premium significantly positively adjusts to inflation. Inflation is thus essential in explaining the level of the equity premium and provides a partial resolution to the equity premium puzzle.
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股票溢价和通货膨胀
本实证研究考察了后布雷顿森林时代主要经济体的股票溢价(预期股票与无风险回报之间的差额)与通货膨胀之间的关系。我们估计全国股票溢价的平均水平在0.8%到2%之间,这证实了溢价正在缩小。回归和脉冲响应表明,股票溢价显著正适应通货膨胀。因此,通货膨胀在解释股票溢价水平方面至关重要,并为股票溢价之谜提供了部分解决方案。
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