Application of Deep Learning Method in Short-term Load Forecasting of Characteristic Enterprises

Yuchen Dou, Xinman Zhang, Zhihui Wu, Hang Zhang
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Short-term load forecasting is an important basic work for the normal operation and control of power systems. The results of power load forecasting have a great impact on dispatching operation of the power system and the production operation of the enterprise. Accurate load forecasting would help improve the safety and stability of power system and save the cost of enterprise. In order to extract the effective information contained in the data and improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting, this paper proposes a long-short term memory neural network model (LSTM) with deep learning ability for short-term load forecasting combined with clustering algorithm. Deep learning is in line with the trend of big data and has a strong ability to learn and summarize large amounts of data. Through the research on the characteristics and influencing factors of the characteristic enterprises, the collected samples are clustered to establish similar day sets. This paper also studies the impact of different types of load data on prediction and the actual problem of input training sample selection. The LSTM prediction model is built with subdividing and clustering the input load sample set. Compared with other traditional methods, the results prove that LSTM proposed has higher accuracy and applicability.
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深度学习方法在特色企业短期负荷预测中的应用
短期负荷预测是电力系统正常运行和控制的重要基础工作。电力负荷预测的结果对电力系统的调度运行和企业的生产运行都有很大的影响。准确的负荷预测有助于提高电力系统的安全性和稳定性,节约企业成本。为了提取数据中包含的有效信息,提高短期负荷预测的准确性,本文结合聚类算法,提出了一种具有深度学习能力的长短期记忆神经网络模型(LSTM)用于短期负荷预测。深度学习符合大数据的趋势,具有较强的学习能力和对大量数据的总结能力。通过对特色企业特征及其影响因素的研究,对所收集的样本进行聚类,建立相似日集。本文还研究了不同类型的负载数据对预测的影响以及输入训练样本选择的实际问题。通过对输入负荷样本集进行细分和聚类,建立LSTM预测模型。结果表明,与其他传统方法相比,LSTM具有更高的精度和适用性。
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