Assessing the Viability of Establishing a Dairy Milk Business in the Village Unit Cooperative of Gandusari District, Blitar Regency: A Feasibility Analysis

Maya Novitawati, Livia Windiana, Bambang Yudi Ariadi
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Abstract

Milk is a vital animal-derived food product, along with meat and eggs, for human consumption. In Indonesia, the dairy industry is dominated by small and medium-sized dairies. Dairy cows are a significant source of animal protein, and their primary product is milk. In the North of Blitar Regency lies the sub-district of Gandusari, where dairy cow milk is produced in the villages under the coverage of the Village Unit Cooperative called KUD "Semen." This research was initiated to address a problem. Primary and secondary data were collected using a puIDRosive sampling technique, questionnaires, literature review, and observation. The collected data is quantitative, and investment criteria were utilized for analysis. The results of the NPV analysis showed an amount of IDR 18,672,631,280, IRR of 29%, B/C Ratio of 184.04, and PP for eight years and six days, indicating the feasibility of investing in KUD "Semen." Sensitivity analysis was performed based on three assumptions, including the increase in feed costs, operational costs, and decreased milk production of dairy cows. The analysis revealed that the dairy milk business in KUD is sensitive to increased feed prices and decreased production, among the three assumptions.
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评估在Blitar县Gandusari区村单位合作社建立牛奶业务的可行性:可行性分析
牛奶是一种重要的动物源性食品,与肉和蛋一样,供人类食用。在印度尼西亚,乳制品行业以中小型乳制品业为主。奶牛是动物蛋白的重要来源,它们的主要产品是牛奶。在Blitar Regency的北部是Gandusari街道,在名为“精液”的村单位合作社的覆盖下,在那里的村庄生产牛奶。这项研究是为了解决一个问题而开始的。第一手资料和第二手资料的收集采用了严格的抽样技术、问卷调查、文献回顾和观察。所收集的数据是定量的,并使用投资标准进行分析。NPV分析结果为18,672,631,280印尼盾,IRR为29%,B/C比率为184.04,PP为8年零6天,表明投资KUD“Semen”的可行性。基于饲料成本增加、运营成本增加和奶牛产奶量下降三种假设进行敏感性分析。分析显示,在三个假设中,KUD的乳制品业务对饲料价格上涨和产量下降敏感。
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