Artificial neural network based intelligent model for wind power assessment in India

A. Azeem, G. Kumar, H. Malik
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引用次数: 15

Abstract

Wind resource assessment is essential to evaluate the future wind power generation from a wind farm. As wind power generation depends directly on wind speed, therefore accurate wind speed prediction facilitates wind power generation. In this paper generalized regression neural network is employed for accurate wind speed prediction. The performance of proposed approach is evaluated using publically available dataset of different cities in India. Air temperature, earth temperature, relative humidity, daily solar radiation, elevation, latitude, heating degree days, cooling degree days, longitude and atmospheric pressure are used as input variables. Correlation coefficient of 0.99909 is obtained during training and 0.95143 during testing of GRNN model. The proposed GRNN model is then utilized to find wind speed and power potential of major wind power generating sites of Andhra Pradesh, India. A comparison between the measured and forecasted wind speed and power values validate that generalized regression neural network is an appropriate technique for long term wind speed and power prediction.
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基于人工神经网络的印度风电评估智能模型
风力资源评估是评估未来风力发电能力的关键。由于风力发电直接取决于风速,因此准确的风速预测有助于风力发电。本文采用广义回归神经网络进行准确的风速预测。使用印度不同城市的公开数据集对所提出方法的性能进行了评估。输入变量为气温、地球温度、相对湿度、日太阳辐射、高程、纬度、加热度日、冷却度日、经度和大气压。GRNN模型训练时的相关系数为0.99909,测试时的相关系数为0.95143。然后利用所提出的GRNN模型求解了印度安得拉邦主要风力发电场的风速和功率潜力。通过实测和预报的风速和功率值的比较,验证了广义回归神经网络是一种适合长期风速和功率预测的技术。
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