DYNAMICS AND INTENSITY OF STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT: THE CASE STUDY OF THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA

J. Dimovski, V. Radivojevic, Tamara Radjenović
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Abstract

Agriculture as a primary sector is constantly subject to structural changes – adjustments in product features, production and consumption, technology, size of farms and agricultural holdings, manufacturing models, etc. Given the most dramatic changes occurring in the production sector, structural changes in agricultural output are precondition for understanding country’s food production and food security. Accordingly, the paper analyses the agricultural output in the Republic of Serbia in the period from 2007 to 2019. The aim of the research is to examine an intensity and dynamics of structural changes, in order to determine the most dynamic agricultural branches and period when these changes are the most intensive. The research has been conducted using Michaely Index and Lilien Index as the indicators of structural changes. Research results can be beneficiary for policy makers in developing a strategy, aiming to ensure food security and further development of key agricultural branches.
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农业产出结构变化的动态和强度:塞尔维亚共和国的案例研究
农业作为第一产业,在产品特征、生产和消费、技术、农场规模和农业所有制、生产方式等方面不断发生结构性变化。考虑到生产部门发生的最剧烈的变化,农业产出的结构性变化是了解一个国家粮食生产和粮食安全的先决条件。据此,本文对塞尔维亚共和国2007 - 2019年的农业产出进行了分析。研究的目的是检查结构变化的强度和动态,以确定最具活力的农业部门和这些变化最密集的时期。研究采用Michaely指数和Lilien指数作为结构变化的指标。研究结果可以为决策者制定旨在确保粮食安全和进一步发展关键农业部门的战略提供帮助。
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