Predictions Based on the Rectification and Processing of Noisy Data

O. Artamonov
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Abstract

The described methods are devoted to developing of some strategies to avoid unnecessary hospital admissions on the base of a prediction of the possible future days in hospital based on previous claims and previous days in hospital statistics of a patient. Since often input data are not complete, a method of missing data restoring on the base of a similarity principle was represented first. The wishful prediction method is elaborated after data clustering and establishing of relations between different clusters. Also another approach to the prediction was introduced: the idea is based on a modeling of the Markov process with relation to the data. Both methods facilitate the production of algorithms and further precise calculations. More general computational topology method for different type of predictions was elaborated as well.
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基于噪声数据校正与处理的预测
所描述的方法致力于制定一些策略,以根据病人以前的索赔和以前住院天数的统计数据预测可能的未来住院天数,从而避免不必要的住院。针对输入数据经常不完整的问题,提出了一种基于相似原理的缺失数据恢复方法。通过对数据进行聚类,建立不同聚类之间的关系,阐述了一厢情愿的预测方法。此外,还介绍了另一种预测方法:该方法基于与数据相关的马尔可夫过程的建模。这两种方法都有利于算法的产生和进一步的精确计算。针对不同类型的预测,给出了较为通用的计算拓扑方法。
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