Development of neural network model based on attention mechanism applied to the prediction of ship damaged stability

Haoqing Li, Xiaohao Huang, C. Pan, Chunlei Yang, Jinbao Wang
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Abstract

As a key indicator in ship design, many major incidents of ship sinking are related to the ship's damaged stability. The process of calculating the damaged stability becomes more and more complex and time-consuming on account of more and more stringent specification standards. A two-stage design step is used in this article to realize the calculation of ship’s damaged stability under various watertight bulkhead fast. Firstly, a multi-layer feed-forward neural network model was designed for the predictive regression of a ship's damaged stability using the location of the watertight bulkhead as a variable. Secondly, the relationship between each watertight bulkhead variant and the damaged stability A-value is analyzed. After that, with hydrostatic curve calculation based on the inlet simulation and the interaction between watertight bulkheads considered, a multilayer feed-forward neural network model based on the attention mechanism is designed, which could predict the regression of the damaged stability A-value and analyze bulkhead weights. Finally, the validity of the model was verified by the data, in which the mean value of the prediction error MAE (mean absolute error) was at 2.67×10-4 and the computation time was greatly reduced.
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基于注意机制的神经网络模型在船舶损伤稳定性预测中的应用
作为船舶设计的一项重要指标,许多重大的船舶沉没事故都与船舶的失稳性有关。由于规范标准的日益严格,破坏稳定的计算过程变得越来越复杂和耗时。本文采用两阶段设计方法,快速实现了不同水密舱壁条件下船舶损伤稳性的计算。首先,以水密舱壁位置为变量,设计了多层前馈神经网络模型,用于船舶损伤稳性的预测回归;其次,分析了水密舱壁各变型与破坏稳性a值的关系。在此基础上,考虑进气道仿真的静水曲线计算和水密舱壁之间的相互作用,设计了基于注意机制的多层前馈神经网络模型,预测了破坏稳定a值的回归,分析了舱壁重量。最后,通过数据验证了模型的有效性,其中预测误差MAE(平均绝对误差)的平均值为2.67×10-4,大大减少了计算时间。
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