Effect of Rupiah Exchange Rate, GDP Growth, and Dow Jones Index on Composite Stock Price Index in Indonesia Stock Exchange

Wiwik Handayani, S. Oktavia
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引用次数: 16

Abstract

  A capital market is a meeting place for stock sellers and buyers with the aim of getting maximum profits. To get these benefits, investors need information about the stock price index. Factors that influence the Stock Price Index are important information for investors. The composite stock price index (CSPI) is one of the main indicators that reflects the performance of the capital market whether it is experiencing an increase or is experiencing a decline. These factors include the rupiah exchange rate, GDP growth, and the Dow Jones index. This study aims to prove and analyze the effect of the rupiah exchange rate, GDP growth, and the Dow Jones index Average (DJIA) on the composite stock price index on the Indonesia stock exchange for the period 2012-2015. The population and sample of this study are forty-eight CSPI data from the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Data is collected by means of documentation and then analyzed. The data analysis technique used in this study is multiple linear regression analysis techniques. Based on the results of the analysis it is known that the rupiah exchange rate has no effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI). While GDP growth and the Dow Jones index Average (DJIA) have affected the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI). For further research, it is considered necessary to review other factors that can influence the movement of the stock price index, for example, the company's fundamental factors such as profit, loss, financial ratios, and others. Keywords: Exchange Rate, GDP Growth, The Dow Jones (DJIA), Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI).
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印尼盾汇率、GDP增长和道琼斯指数对印尼证券交易所综合股价指数的影响
资本市场是股票买卖双方以获取最大利润为目的的集会场所。为了获得这些好处,投资者需要有关股价指数的信息。影响股票价格指数的因素是投资者的重要信息。综合股价指数(CSPI)是反映资本市场是上涨还是下跌的主要指标之一。这些因素包括印尼盾汇率、GDP增长和道琼斯指数。本研究旨在证明和分析2012-2015年期间印尼印尼盾汇率、GDP增长和道琼斯指数对印尼证券交易所综合股价指数的影响。本研究的人口和样本是来自印度尼西亚证券交易所的48个CSPI数据。通过文件收集数据,然后进行分析。本研究使用的数据分析技术是多元线性回归分析技术。根据分析结果可知,印尼盾汇率对综合股票价格指数(CSPI)没有影响。而GDP增长和道琼斯指数(DJIA)影响了综合股票价格指数(CSPI)。为了进一步研究,我们认为有必要考察影响股价指数走势的其他因素,例如公司的基本面因素,如利润、亏损、财务比率等。关键词:汇率,GDP增长,道琼斯指数,综合股价指数。
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