The (Non)Separability of Air Quality: Evidence from Millions of Households Across the United States

C. Makridis
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Abstract

The costs and benefits of environmental policy depend crucially on the assumed microelasticities between market and non-market goods. In their absence, general equilibrium models have assumed environmental amenities are perfect substitutes with market goods, such as consumption and leisure, producing qualitatively dierent welfare assessments of environmental policy under even a narrow range of micro-elasticities. I estimate these elasticities using over 40 million observations from Census micro-data, together with weather and air quality measures at the county-level, between 2000-2014, finding that the elasticities between air quality and consumption, housing, and leisure are 7.14, .54, and .2, respectively. These estimates are identified from county-industry-specific deviations in air quality from the county averages after conditioning on shocks common to all counties within a state. Under simulated counterfactual distributions for 2010, these elasticities imply that the Clean Air Act Amendments had very large negative eects.
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空气质量的(非)可分离性:来自美国数百万家庭的证据
环境政策的成本和收益在很大程度上取决于市场商品和非市场商品之间假定的微观弹性。在缺乏环境福利的情况下,一般均衡模型假设环境福利是消费和休闲等市场商品的完美替代品,即使在很小的微观弹性范围内,也会对环境政策产生质量不同的福利评估。我利用2000年至2014年期间人口普查微观数据中的4000多万次观察结果,以及县级的天气和空气质量措施,估计了这些弹性,发现空气质量与消费、住房和休闲之间的弹性分别为7.14、0.54和0.2。这些估计值是在对一个州内所有县共同的冲击进行调节后,根据县行业特定的空气质量与县平均水平的偏差确定的。在2010年模拟的反事实分布下,这些弹性意味着《清洁空气法修正案》具有非常大的负面影响。
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