A Model of Supply and Demand for Tradable Pollution Permits with Application to the Korean Industrial Sectors

Alexandre Repkine, Dong-ki Min
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Abstract

We suggest a model of supply and demand for tradable pollution permits based on the polluters’ marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves. Assuming linear MAC curves, we derive their parameters based on the estimates of directional output distance functions due to Fare, Grosskopf, Noh and Weber (2005). This model is then applied to the seven industrial sectors in Korea for the period between 2001 and 2009 assuming a target reduction level of the emissions of twenty percent. We find that the introduction of the tradable pollution permits system results in significant cost savings on the order of 46% to 80% of the opportunity costs that would be incurred in case the pollution levels were to be reduced by twenty percent by each enterprise in the economy. This study offers a practical way of estimating the amount by which the costs of reducing industrial pollution may be lowered as a result of the introduction of a system of tradable pollution permits.
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可交易污染许可的供需模型及其在韩国工业部门的应用
我们提出了一个基于污染者边际减排成本(MAC)曲线的可交易污染许可供需模型。假设MAC曲线是线性的,我们根据Fare、Grosskopf、Noh和Weber(2005)对定向输出距离函数的估计得出它们的参数。然后将该模型应用于2001年至2009年期间韩国的七个工业部门,假设排放量减少20%的目标水平。我们发现,引入可交易的污染许可制度可以显著节省成本,约为机会成本的46%至80%,而如果经济中每个企业的污染水平降低20%,则会产生机会成本。这项研究提供了一种实用的方法来估计由于引入可交易的污染许可制度而减少工业污染的成本可能降低的数量。
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