Automatic Asset Selection and Allocation System with NSGA-II and Genetic Programming

Liang Xingzhou
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Abstract

Making a good investment decision is always difficult because of the large uncertainty, randomness, and unpredictability of asset price. However, a portfolio can help investors achieve a better result with a proper allocation of good quality assets and appropriate weights. In this study, we construct an automatic asset selection and allocation system. We first apply the genetic programing to design new risk factors which can bring abnormal return based on classical factors and then use the classical factors to select stocks. After that, weight of each stock is optimized by NSGA-II with three objective functions: Sharpe ratio, skewness and kurtosis. Our factors generated through by genetic programming successfully capture the abnormal return and NSGA-II helps us maximize Sharpe ratio and minimize drawdown and shortfall. In the last, though we have achieved remarkable cumulative return based on the optimized portfolio, more efforts are needed while applying it to the real market
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基于NSGA-II和遗传规划的资产自动选择与分配系统
由于资产价格具有很大的不确定性、随机性和不可预测性,做出一个好的投资决策总是很困难的。然而,投资组合可以帮助投资者通过适当配置优质资产和适当的权重来获得更好的结果。在本研究中,我们构建了一个自动资产选择和配置系统。首先在经典风险因子的基础上,应用遗传规划方法设计新的能够带来异常收益的风险因子,然后利用经典风险因子进行股票选择。然后,利用NSGA-II算法以夏普比、偏度和峰度三个目标函数对各个股的权重进行优化。我们通过遗传编程产生的因子成功捕获了异常收益,NSGA-II帮助我们最大化夏普比率,最小化下跌和短缺。最后,在优化后的投资组合基础上,我们虽然取得了显著的累积收益,但将其应用到实际市场中还需要付出更多的努力
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