Credit Risk and Financial Performance of Vietnamese Commercial Banks: During and After the Financial Crisis

Nguyen Tran Thai Ha, Nguyen Vinh Khuong
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Abstract

This study examines the influence of credit risk on the financial performance of commercial banks, as measured by the bad debt ratio and the credit risk provision ratio, with and without the participation of macro factors. This study also investigates the effect of the financial crisis on these relationships. Estimates of the generalized two-step systems method (GMM) are used with financial data of 24 commercial banks in Vietnam for the period 2008-2017. The results find that the credit risk of banks has a negative impact on financial performance. Surprisingly, the bad debt ratio is found to enhance the financial performance of commercial banks, while the ratio of provision for credit losses keeps dragging down financial performance significantly during the financial crisis years.
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越南商业银行信用风险与财务绩效:金融危机期间与之后
本研究考察了在宏观因素参与和不参与的情况下,信用风险对商业银行财务绩效的影响,以坏账率和信用风险拨备率为衡量标准。本研究还探讨了金融危机对这些关系的影响。对越南24家商业银行2008-2017年期间的财务数据使用了广义两步系统方法(GMM)的估计。结果发现,银行信用风险对财务绩效有负向影响。令人惊讶的是,不良贷款率提高了商业银行的财务绩效,而信贷损失拨备率在金融危机期间持续显著拖累财务绩效。
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